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Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. (TSMC) surged 3.48% in pre-market trading on Nov. 25, 2025, as investors digested the company’s announcement of a $100 billion U.S. investment, marking the largest single foreign direct investment in American history. The move, which includes three new fabrication plants and expanded R&D facilities, is expected to generate 40,000 construction jobs and tens of thousands of tech roles over four years. The scale of the commitment underscores TSMC’s strategic alignment with U.S. manufacturing priorities while deepening ties to key clients such as Apple and
.Analysts note the investment could dilute profit margins due to high capital expenditures and lengthy construction timelines. TSMC’s free cash flow of $26 billion over the past 12 months and $74 billion in cash reserves position it to manage near-term funding needs. However, the long-term financial impact remains uncertain, particularly as the company navigates permitting processes and operational scaling for the new facilities. The stock’s pre-market rally reflects optimism about the project’s growth potential but also highlights risks tied to execution challenges.

Backtesting assumptions suggest a momentum-based strategy with a 50-day moving average crossover and 10% trailing stop-loss could align with TSMC’s volatility profile. Historical data from 2023-2025 indicates the stock often rebounds 7-10% after sharp corrections, though prolonged bearish trends may require tighter risk controls. Investors should monitor quarterly earnings for clues on capital allocation efficiency and margin resilience amid expansion costs.
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