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TSMC's Earnings Soar on AI-Driven Demand: Can it impact the current rotation?

Jay's InsightThursday, Jul 18, 2024 7:42 am ET
2min read

In the fast-paced world of technology and finance, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) has been a shining beacon of growth, particularly in the second quarter of 2024. The company's robust earnings, driven by a surge in demand for advanced chips in the AI landscape, have not only surpassed expectations but also provided valuable insights into the semiconductor industry's future trajectory.

The company posted revenue of NT$673.51 billion ($20.82 billion), beating the consensus estimate of NT$657.58 billion. Net income rose to NT$247.85 billion, exceeding the expected NT$238.8 billion. This strong performance was driven by surging demand for advanced chips used in AI applications, despite geopolitical tensions and concerns over potential U.S. trade restrictions.

TSMC's results come amidst a broader tech sell-off influenced by comments from Donald Trump, who criticized Taiwan's semiconductor dominance and suggested the island should compensate the U.S. for defense. These remarks added to investor concerns about the semiconductor industry, causing significant declines in shares of high-profile chip stocks like Nvidia and Qualcomm. TSMC's shares were also impacted, closing 2.43% lower as Asian chip stocks tumbled.

Despite these geopolitical concerns, TSMC's CEO, C.C. Wei, emphasized the company's resilience and strategic importance in the global chip industry. TSMC continues to lead in producing advanced chips found in a wide range of applications, from smartphones to AI technologies. The company counts major tech giants like Apple and Nvidia among its clients, underscoring its critical role in the technology supply chain.

The Q2 2024 performance, with a 40.1% YoY revenue increase and a net income leap, can be attributed to the company's strategic investments in 3-nanometer and 5-nanometer technologies. These cutting-edge processes cater to the AI boom, as seen in the booming demand for chips from AI applications in smartphones, cloud services, and edge computing. TSMC's leading position is fortified by its clientele, which includes tech giants like Apple and Nvidia, whose reliance on these chips underscores the significance of AI in shaping the industry's landscape.Despite the smartphone seasonality, TSMC's robust earnings demonstrate the resilience of its business model in the face of a rapidly evolving market. The tight supply chain, however, serves as a reminder of the industry's ongoing challenge to meet the insatiable demand. Wei acknowledges this imbalance, stating that they are working diligently to strike a balance between supply and demand, with hopes for improvement in 2026.Looking ahead, TSMC projects Q3 2024 revenue between $22.4 billion and $23.2 billion, supported by strong demand for smartphones and AI-related technologies. The company has also revised its full-year revenue growth forecast to the mid-20% range, up from its previous low-to-mid-20% projection. This optimistic outlook is bolstered by the ongoing AI boom, which continues to drive substantial demand for TSMC's advanced chips.

In terms of capacity, TSMC is working hard to meet the high demand, with plans to expand its production capabilities in the U.S., Japan, and potentially Europe. The company is investing $65 billion in three plants in Arizona and has other facilities under development in Kumamoto, Japan, and Europe. Despite Trump's comments, Wei confirmed that TSMC has no plans to alter its expansion strategy.

Overall, TSMC's Q2 results highlight its strong position in the semiconductor industry, driven by innovation and strategic investments. The company's ability to navigate geopolitical tensions and maintain robust growth underscores its importance to the global tech ecosystem. As demand for advanced chips continues to surge, TSMC remains well-positioned to capitalize on future opportunities, reinforcing its leadership in the market.

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