TRX Price Action: Critical Support Tests and Targets in the Uptrend Ahead of 13 January 2026

As the calendar flips to late 2025, TRON (TRX) finds itself at a pivotal juncture. The cryptocurrency has navigated a complex consolidation phase, with technical and on-chain metrics now aligning to signal a potential bullish reversal. With the critical date of 13 January 2026 looming-a day often associated with market psychology and institutional activity-the focus for TRX traders and investors is squarely on key support levels, resistance thresholds, and the on-chain data confirming a shift in momentum.

Technical Analysis: A Tapestry of Support and Resistance

TRX's price action in 2025 has been defined by a series of well-defined support and resistance levels. The most critical support zone lies at $0.265, a level that has historically acted as a psychological and technical floor. Below this, $0.215 emerges as a stronger base, where historical buying pressure has repeatedly stabilized the asset. On the upside, $0.29 represents an immediate resistance hurdle, often triggering profit-taking and short-term selling. A successful breach of this level could open the path to $0.32, a pivotal resistance zone that has historically acted as a pivot point.

The weekly chart reveals a bullish structure, with TRX maintaining a position above the 50, 100, and 200 Simple Moving Averages. Key support levels include the 50 SMA at $0.285–$0.275 and the lower Bollinger Band at $0.255–$0.260, while resistance clusters at $0.307–$0.310 and $0.33–$0.35 according to technical analysis. The RSI on the weekly chart stands at 51, signaling a shift in momentum toward the upside. Meanwhile, the MACD histogram at 0.0012 and the main line at 0.0028 remain above the signal line, reinforcing strengthening bullish momentum.

A critical technical pattern to monitor is the bullish falling wedge breakout, which has emerged as a continuation signal. A clean breakout above $0.3040 could validate this pattern, with the immediate target at $0.315. Analysts project that a confirmed break above $0.30 would align with the SMA 200 at $0.31, opening the door to $0.32 and potentially $0.35.

On-Chain Metrics: Accumulation and Confidence

On-chain data provides further validation for a bullish reversal. TRX's ecosystem remains healthy despite sideways price action, with stable transaction counts and rising reserves. Accumulation patterns have intensified, with on-chain metrics suggesting a potential move toward $0.32–$0.37.

The stabilization of on-chain activity is particularly noteworthy. While price has been range-bound, the TRON network's transaction volume and active addresses have shown resilience, suggesting that the ecosystem is not under existential stress. This divergence between price and on-chain fundamentals often precedes a breakout, as patient capital accumulates in anticipation of a catalyst.

The Road to 13 January 2026: Key Levels to Watch

With 13 January 2026 approaching, the focus for TRX will center on three critical price points:
1. $0.265–$0.215: A test of these support levels would validate the bearish case, but current momentum suggests a stronger likelihood of a rebound.
2. $0.30: A decisive break above this level would confirm the bullish wedge pattern and align with the SMA 200 at $0.31.
3. $0.32–$0.35: These levels represent the primary price targets for analysts, with on-chain and technical indicators converging on this range.

Conclusion: A Confluence of Signals

TRX's price action and on-chain metrics paint a compelling case for a bullish reversal ahead of 13 January 2026. The alignment of technical indicators-RSI, MACD, and wedge patterns-with on-chain accumulation and stable ecosystem activity suggests that the asset is poised for a breakout. While risks remain, particularly if $0.265 fails to hold, the current trajectory favors a continuation of the uptrend. For investors, the coming weeks will be critical in determining whether TRX can sustain its momentum and achieve its projected targets.