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Justin
, the founder of the Blockchain, recently shared an intriguing observation on X, highlighting an unexpected correlation between TRON’s native currency, TRX, and Bitcoin. This has sparked significant interest within the crypto community, prompting market analysts and investors to closely examine TRX’s evolving market behaviors.Sun noted that TRX has achieved in half the time what Bitcoin accomplished over a decade. According to on-chain data, the correlation between BTC and TRX over the past 30 days is as high as 0.37. This is particularly noteworthy given that the correlation between Bitcoin and other major cryptocurrencies, such as Ethereum (ETH) and Dogecoin (DOGE), has been weakening. Ethereum and Dogecoin show negative correlations with Bitcoin, at -0.5 and -0.28 respectively, indicating that many altcoins are acting independently. However, TRX continues to mirror Bitcoin’s movements, demonstrating an unusual level of synchronization in the crypto market.
Sun emphasized that the correlation with Bitcoin is not the sole defining factor for TRX. He described TRX as a powerful asset that serves as a stable foundation for payments and a reliable store of value. Beyond its price stability, TRX’s on-chain traffic and the number of active wallets are propelling it to hit new all-time highs, building momentum in the crypto landscape.
Sun also mentioned that many investors and traders view Bitcoin as a symbol of belief in the digital finance landscape. However, TRX is carving out its own space and projecting itself as a “belief asset” for the new generation. This is due to its stability, innovation, and growth potential for new investors. Sun highlighted that the Tron chain, from BitTorrent to stablecoins like USDT, is building its own financial empire in the crypto market. He suggested that TRX might currently be undervalued but its growth progress could eventually rival that of Bitcoin.
Despite TRX’s growing correlation with Bitcoin, Sun’s observations do not diminish Bitcoin’s growth potential. Market uncertainty and political trade wars are driving Bitcoin to hit new highs. On April 25, 2025, Bitcoin began with a rise, but a pin bar followed by a full-body red candle signaled a possible downtrend. Bitcoin resisted at $94,226 and experienced a sharp fall, confirmed by a Death Cross on MACD. It then found support at $92,971 and experienced an uptrend, affirmed by a Golden Cross on MACD. However, at 15:00 UTC, Bitcoin’s price movement resisted at $95,606 and experienced another downtrend, confirmed by a Death Cross on MACD. At 17:55 UTC, Bitcoin found support at $94,506, entered a trading range, and closed at $94,758. Following the preceding day’s close, Bitcoin exhibited notable price action and kept fluctuating within key levels. At 08:40 UTC, Bitcoin broke the key support of $94,506, suggesting a bearish trend.
Sun’s observation that TRX equals BTC in terms of correlation shows how TRON is establishing a powerful transformation to compete with Bitcoin. However, this does not mean Bitcoin has no future potential. Market uncertainty and political trade wars are seamlessly driving Bitcoin’s momentum in the marketplace.

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