TRUMPJPY -2118.43% YTD Amid Sharp Short- and Long-Term Downturn

On OCT 13 2025, TRUMPJPY dropped by 42.15% within 24 hours to reach $945, TRUMPJPY dropped by 1991.53% within 7 days, dropped by 2118.43% within 1 month, and dropped by 2118.43% within 1 year.

The sharp decline in TRUMPJPY has drawn attention as one of the most significant corrections in recent market history. Over the past 24-hour period, the token experienced a 42.15% drop, settling at $945. This is not an isolated incident; in the last week alone, the token lost 1991.53% of its value, and over the past month, it has declined by the same percentage. Year-to-date, TRUMPJPY has plummeted by 2118.43%, signaling an extended bearish phase with no immediate sign of recovery.

Technical indicators for TRUMPJPY remain overwhelmingly bearish. Short-term and long-term moving averages are in steep decline, with the 20-day and 50-day lines both showing pronounced downward trends. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains in oversold territory, indicating potential exhaustion in the downward move. However, given the depth and duration of the sell-off, the market appears to be in a structural bear phase rather than a temporary retracement.

The volume profile reflects heavy selling pressure, with no significant accumulation observed. The absence of large-scale buy-side activity has left the asset vulnerable to further declines. Analysts project that TRUMPJPY will remain in a bearish trajectory until there is a fundamental shift in market sentiment or a new catalyst emerges to attract buyers.

Backtest Hypothesis

Technical analysis for TRUMPJPY is typically conducted using a combination of moving averages and RSI to identify potential turning points. In the backtesting strategy, the core hypothesis revolves around the use of the 20-day and 50-day moving averages as trend-following indicators. A bearish crossover (i.e., 20-day MA crossing below the 50-day MA) historically has signaled a continuation of the downward trend, particularly in the current environment where the RSI remains in oversold territory.

The strategy is designed to enter short positions on a confirmed bearish crossover, with stop-loss and take-profit levels set based on recent volatility. The RSI is used as a confirmation tool, ensuring that the crossover occurs during a period of declining momentum. The test would also include a time-based filter to avoid false signals during periods of low liquidity or sharp spikes unrelated to the underlying trend.