Trump vs. Harris: A Tale of Two Economic Visions
AInvestTuesday, Nov 5, 2024 11:57 am ET
2min read
MCO --
As the 2024 presidential election approaches, the economic plans of former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris have taken center stage. Both candidates have distinct visions for the U.S. economy, with Trump focusing on tax cuts and Harris emphasizing targeted spending and tax increases for the wealthy. This article explores the key differences between their economic policies and the potential impacts on the economy.


**Tax Policies: A Tale of Two Approaches**

Trump's economic plan emphasizes tax cuts, aiming to extend and expand his 2017 tax cuts for virtually all Americans. This approach could stimulate economic growth by increasing consumer spending and business investment. However, it may also exacerbate income inequality and contribute to budget deficits. According to Moody's, a Trump presidency would result in slower economic growth (1.3% annually) compared to Harris (2.1%), but higher inflation (3.5% vs. 2.4%).

Harris, on the other hand, proposes raising taxes for the richest Americans and corporations, which could help reduce income inequality and generate revenue for social programs. However, this approach may discourage investment and economic growth. Harris' plan includes enhanced tax credits for kids, housing assistance, and cracking down on price gouging, all targeted towards low- and middle-income families.


**Trade Policies: Tariffs and Targeted Measures**

Trump's trade policies, characterized by tariffs and protectionism, aim to boost domestic manufacturing and jobs. However, these policies may increase costs for consumers, disproportionately affecting lower-income households. Trump has proposed a 10% tariff on all U.S. imports and a 60% levy on Chinese shipments, which could have significant economic repercussions.

Harris, in contrast, favors targeted tariffs on Chinese imports and promoting fair trade agreements. This approach could mitigate income inequality by reducing the impact on consumer prices and encouraging more competitive markets. Harris' plan also includes tougher immigration curbs, which could maintain the labor force and support economic growth.

**Immigration Policies: Border Control vs. Pathway to Citizenship**

Trump's immigration policies, including mass deportations and stricter border controls, could lead to a labor shortage, as many immigrants hold jobs in sectors like agriculture and hospitality. This could slow economic growth, as seen in the 2017 CBO report. Conversely, Harris' more moderate approach, focusing on border management and pathway to citizenship, would maintain the labor force, supporting economic growth.


In conclusion, the economic visions of Trump and Harris differ significantly, with Trump focusing on tax cuts and Harris emphasizing targeted spending and tax increases for the wealthy. Their trade and immigration policies also diverge, with Trump favoring broad tariffs and stricter border control, and Harris advocating for targeted tariffs and a pathway to citizenship. The potential impacts of these policies on economic growth, income inequality, and inflation vary, highlighting the importance of a balanced and nuanced approach to economic decision-making. As the election approaches, voters should carefully consider the economic plans of both candidates and their potential consequences for the U.S. economy.
Disclaimer: the above is a summary showing certain market information. AInvest is not responsible for any data errors, omissions or other information that may be displayed incorrectly as the data is derived from a third party source. Communications displaying market prices, data and other information available in this post are meant for informational purposes only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any security. Please do your own research when investing. All investments involve risk and the past performance of a security, or financial product does not guarantee future results or returns. Keep in mind that while diversification may help spread risk, it does not assure a profit, or protect against loss in a down market.