Trump Urges Rate Cuts After 177,000 Jobs Added, Powell Resists
President Trump has once again called for lower interest rates following the release of positive US employment data. The latest jobs report from the US Bureau of Labor Statistics showed an increase of 177,000 in total nonfarm payroll employment, exceeding expectations, while unemployment remained steady and wages increased. This prompted President Trump to advocate for interest rate cuts, citing strong economic indicators such as low gasoline prices, reduced grocery costs, and a robust employment market.
Trump has repeatedly urged Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell to reduce interest rates, a move that the crypto industry has also advocated for, as it could encourage investment in risk-on assets. However, Powell has maintained a consistent stance, emphasizing that the unpredictability of tariffs makes further rate cuts risky. The Federal Reserve needs to keep its options open to address potential future economic challenges.
Trump's attempts to influence Powell have been met with resistance, as the Federal Reserve remains cautious about the economic impact of tariffs. Powell's position is clear: the economy does not currently require rate cuts to survive, and the Fed must be prepared for any unforeseen events. Trump's threat to fire Powell over the rate cut issue was met with market panic, and he ultimately relented, as ousting a prominent regulator could cause significant chaos.
Following the jobs report, market expectations for rate cuts have diminished, with the CME reporting that an adjustment in May is virtually impossible. Economist Justin Wolfers from the University of Michigan explained that the strong economic data makes rate cuts less likely, as the real economy is currently robust enough to not warrant a cut. Powell's approach is to wait and see how the economic landscape evolves, rather than making speculative moves.
Trump's desire for rate cuts is driven by his belief that lower interest rates would benefit the economy, but he cannot force the issue without causing bigger problems. The unpredictability of tariffs has made the Federal Reserve cautious, and they are unlikely to make significant changes to interest rates in the near future. Traders should remain cautious around speculation that seems too good to be true, as the economic environment is complex and unpredictable.
