"I'm on Trump Time": Kellogg's Russia-Ukraine Peace Plan Could Come in Days or Weeks

As the Russia-Ukraine war enters its third year, the international community eagerly awaits a resolution to the conflict. Keith Kellogg, the special envoy for Ukraine appointed by President-elect Trump, has hinted that a peace plan could be on the horizon, potentially coming in days or weeks. Kellogg's plan, which aims to end the war within a day of Trump's return to the White House, has sparked optimism and curiosity among investors and geopolitical analysts alike.

Kellogg's plan, as outlined in a research report co-written by him last May, calls for a strong, America First leadership to deliver a peace deal and immediately end the hostilities between Russia and Ukraine. The report, published by the America First Policy Institute (AMFI), argues that the Biden Administration's risk-averse pattern in arming Ukraine and failure in diplomacy with Russia have prolonged the war, which now finds itself in a war of attrition with Russia.



The plan suggests freezing the conflict along current lines, with Russia retaining control of around 20% of Ukraine, mainly in the southeastern region of Donetsk. In exchange for a peace deal, Russia would be offered security guarantees and a delay in Ukraine's membership in NATO. To persuade Russian President Vladimir Putin to join these discussions, Kellogg recommends that the U.S. and other NATO leaders offer to delay Ukraine's membership in the alliance.

Kellogg's plan also involves holding elections in Ukraine, preferably by the end of the year, especially if a ceasefire comes into effect. This would help restore democratic governance and legitimacy in the war-torn country. Additionally, the plan calls for strengthening Ukraine's defenses to ensure that Russia will make no further advances and will not attack again after a ceasefire or peace agreement.



While Kellogg's plan has the potential to bring an end to the conflict, it is not without its challenges. Ukraine has previously insisted on regaining all lost territory, and Volodymyr Zelensky, the Ukrainian president, has admitted that he is willing to cede territory to Russia to end the war. However, the plan's suggestion to delay Ukraine's membership in NATO may face resistance from both Russia and Ukraine, as well as from the U.S. and its European allies.

In conclusion, Keith Kellogg's Russia-Ukraine peace plan, which could come in days or weeks, offers a potential resolution to the ongoing conflict. The plan aims to balance the interests of Russia, Ukraine, and the international community by freezing the conflict along current lines, offering security guarantees, and potentially delaying Ukraine's membership in NATO. However, the plan's success will depend on the willingness of all parties involved to engage in negotiations and make necessary compromises. As investors and geopolitical analysts await further developments, they should closely monitor the situation and be prepared to adapt their strategies accordingly.