Trump mostly — but not entirely — rules out military action on Canada trib.al/satnGa9

Sunday, May 4, 2025 10:53 am ET1min read

Trump mostly — but not entirely — rules out military action on Canada trib.al/satnGa9

Mark Carney, a former central banker, has won Canada's federal election, securing a victory for the Liberal Party amidst a backdrop of tension with the United States. The election results reflect a surge in support for the Liberals, who have now won four consecutive elections twice, the last time being in 2004. This victory comes amidst growing Canadian nationalism and a political shift spurred by President Donald Trump's aggressive rhetoric and punishing tariffs [1].

Carney's win was a repudiation of Trump's threats to annex Canada and make it the "51st state." The Liberal Party's campaign capitalized on this sentiment, with Carney promising a tough approach to Washington's import tariffs and a reduction in Canada's reliance on the U.S. economy. Despite the Liberals' gains, they fell short of securing an outright majority, leaving them with 168 seats out of 343, and thus dependent on support from smaller parties to govern [1].

The election results also saw the Conservative Party leader, Pierre Poilievre, lose his seat in parliament, marking a significant shift in Canadian politics. Poilievre, who had been favored in polls, lost to Liberal candidate Bruce Fanjoy in the Ontario district of Carleton. The election results underscore the impact of Trump's tariffs and annexation threats on Canadian voters, as well as the "anybody-but-Conservative" sentiment [1].

Carney's victory is set to bring about a new dynamic in Canada-U.S. relations. The newly elected prime minister is expected to meet with Trump in the near future to discuss a range of issues, including the easing of Trump's 25% tariffs on steel, aluminum, and certain other products. However, reaching a deal with Trump is expected to be challenging, with Carney's team needing to navigate the three Ps: personnel, process, and policy [2].

The upcoming meeting between Carney and Trump is expected to provide early clues on how negotiations might unfold. The ultimate goal is a more functional relationship with the United States, including an easing of the tariffs that have significantly impacted Canada's economy. The negotiations will involve assembling a team, deciding on key personnel, and determining the process and policies that will be discussed [2].

While Trump's threats have spurred a wave of patriotism in Canada, they have also highlighted the need for a strong and united front. Carney's victory signals a shift in Canadian politics, with the Liberals now at the helm. The coming months will be challenging for Carney and his government, as they work to navigate the complex landscape of Canada-U.S. relations and implement policies that will benefit Canada's economy and security.

References:
[1] https://www.yahoo.com/news/carney-wins-canadas-election-riding-115857404.html
[2] https://www.cbc.ca/news/world/carney-trump-meeting-trade-war-lookahead-1.7523186

Trump mostly — but not entirely — rules out military action on Canada trib.al/satnGa9

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