TRON (TRX) at $0.35: A Strategic Entry Point Amid Crypto Volatility?

The Technical Case for $0.35

TRON (TRX) has been trading in a tight range around $0.35 in late September 2025, a level that serves as both a psychological barrier and a critical technical inflection point. According to a report by Blockchain News, TRX is currently above its 20-day and 50-day simple moving averages (SMAs), with the 200-day SMA providing robust support at $0.27 TRON Price Hits $0.35 Amid Buyback and Overbought Signals^[1]. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) sits at 53.68, indicating neutral-to-bullish momentum without entering overbought territory TRON (TRX) Shows Strong Bullish Momentum Above $0.35 Support^[2]. Meanwhile, the MACD histogram shows a positive reading of 0.0009, suggesting strengthening upward momentum as the MACD line remains above its signal line TRON (TRX) Shows Strong Bullish Momentum Above $0.35 Support^[2].

A breakout above $0.35 would validate the bullish case, with the next target at $0.37—the upper Bollinger Band and a former 52-week high TRON Price Hits $0.35 Amid Buyback and Overbought Signals^[1]. However, failure to hold this level could trigger a retest of $0.33, a shorter-term support zone, and eventually the stronger 200-day SMA at $0.27 TRX Price Prediction: TRON Targets $0.358 as Technical Analysis Shows Bullish Momentum Despite Short-Term Consolidation^[3]. Analysts at The Currency Analytics note that volume confirmation will be critical for any sustained move above $0.35, as mixed signals from the Stochastic oscillator (with %K at 92.28 and %D at 94.44) hint at potential short-term pullbacks TRON (TRX) Price Struggles as Technical Indicators Signal Mixed Momentum^[4].

Correlation with Bitcoin and Broader Market Dynamics

TRX's price action remains closely tied to Bitcoin's trajectory, with a 30-day Pearson correlation coefficient of 0.37 TRON’s Correlation With Bitcoin Could Mean Massive Gains^[5]. As Bitcoin enters what many analysts anticipate to be a bullish phase in Q4 2025, TRX could benefit from this alignment. Carmelo Alemán of CryptoQuant's QuickTake highlights that altcoins with smaller market caps, like TRX, often outperform Bitcoin during bull cycles due to their higher volatility and growth potential TRON’s Correlation With Bitcoin Could Mean Massive Gains^[5]. For instance, while Bitcoin might see a 2x increase, TRX could potentially triple or quadruple in value under favorable conditions TRON’s Correlation With Bitcoin Could Mean Massive Gains^[5].

However, this correlation also exposes TRX to Bitcoin's volatility. A recent report by Blockonomi notes that TRX's price has mirrored BTC's corrections, with bearish pressure in the spot market—evidenced by a -35M Delta—raising concerns about a potential dip toward $0.32 TRON (TRX) Holds $0.35 Support as Bulls Eye Breakout Above Key Resistance^[6]. This dynamic underscores the importance of monitoring Bitcoin's performance when evaluating TRX's entry point.

Fundamentals: Network Upgrades and Real-World Adoption

Beyond technicals, TRON's fundamentals are strengthening. Tron Inc.'s $1 billion buyback program and record Q2 2025 earnings have bolstered investor confidence TRON Price Hits $0.35 Amid Buyback and Overbought Signals^[1]. Network activity has surged, with daily transactions exceeding 9 million and USDT flows hitting $25 billion TRON (TRX) Holds $0.35 Support as Bulls Eye Breakout Above Key Resistance^[6]. A 60% reduction in transaction fees has further enhanced TRON's appeal as a platform for stablecoin transfers, particularly in Asia TRON price rebounds toward $0.35 as network cuts fees by 60%^[7].

A pivotal catalyst looms on September 19, 2025, when TRON founder Justin Sun announced a major ecosystem update TRON (TRX) Holds $0.35 Support as Bulls Eye Breakout Above Key Resistance^[6]. This development, coupled with recent integrations like PayPal USD (PYUSD) via LayerZero and MetaMask support, positions TRON for broader institutional adoption TRON price rebounds toward $0.35 as network cuts fees by 60%^[7]. These fundamentals suggest that TRX's long-term value proposition is intact, even amid short-term volatility.

Risk-Reward Analysis at $0.35

The $0.35 level represents a strategic entry point for several reasons. First, it aligns with key technical support/resistance clusters, making it a focal point for traders and investors. Second, the price is consolidating above the 20-day SMA, indicating a potential breakout scenario. Third, TRX's fundamentals—driven by network upgrades and real-world utility—provide a strong foundation for upward movement.

However, risks persist. Regulatory headwinds, such as Tether's phase-out of USDT support on Tron, could dampen adoption Latest TRON (TRX) Price Analysis - CoinMarketCap^[8]. Additionally, competition from BNB Chain in the stablecoin space remains a challenge TRX Price Prediction: TRON Targets $0.358 as Technical Analysis Shows Bullish Momentum Despite Short-Term Consolidation^[3]. Investors must also consider Bitcoin's broader market performance, as a prolonged bearish phase could drag TRX lower.

Conclusion: A Calculated Bet

TRON's price action at $0.35 presents a compelling case for a strategic entry, particularly for investors with a medium-term horizon. The confluence of bullish technical indicators, growing network utility, and Bitcoin-driven market dynamics creates a favorable risk-reward profile. That said, prudence is warranted given the asset's volatility and external risks. A disciplined approach—using $0.35 as a reference point while monitoring volume, Bitcoin's performance, and key support levels—could position investors to capitalize on TRX's potential breakout.