TRON Faces Key Resistance Amid 26% Rally and $2.95M Outflow

TRON (TRX) is currently navigating a critical juncture in its short-term price action, with traders responding to recent overbought conditions and profit-taking behavior. Over the past 90 days, TRX has surged by 26%, reaching a key resistance level that has prompted liquidity outflows, including a net outflow of $2.95 million on August 9. The 7-day RSI stands at 71.9, suggesting that the market is in overbought territory, encouraging some participants to lock in gains and avoid potential short-term corrections [1].

Immediate technical levels are under scrutiny, with $0.335 serving as a crucial support level aligned with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. If this level is breached, the next line of defense appears to be around $0.327. Conversely, a retest and successful reclamation of $0.34 could reignite bullish momentum and push TRX toward the upper resistance levels of $0.349–$0.352. A daily close above this range could trigger a fresh rally [1].

Beyond short-term volatility, TRON continues to solidify its role in the blockchain space as a leading settlement layer. In July 2025, the network processed $600 billion in stablecoin transactions, with USDT accounting for the majority of the volume. TRON now hosts approximately half of the global USDT supply, reinforcing its position in cross-border payments and institutional settlements. This activity not only increases TRX’s utility but also enhances demand for transaction fees and strengthens the network’s appeal as a low-cost, high-throughput platform [1].

Institutional developments have also supported TRON’s fundamentals. Its Nasdaq listing under the ticker “TRON” has increased visibility among traditional investors, while the proposed T-Rex 2X leveraged ETF could attract a new segment of institutional capital. On the supply side, deflationary mechanics have gained momentum, with 40 billion TRX burned by August 2025—about 4.2% of the total supply. Proposal 102 further accelerated this trend by halving block rewards, pushing the annual deflation rate to 1.29%. Over time, this could enhance TRX’s scarcity and potentially amplify bullish momentum in favorable market conditions [1].

Despite these positives, selling pressure has been evident. Whale wallets sold approximately 390 million TRX in July, contributing to downward pressure near $0.34. Additionally, Tron Inc.’s $1 billion shelf offering—while not involving direct TRX sales—has fueled speculation about potential future token liquidations to fund operations [1].

Perplexity AI’s price prediction model for 2026 projects three potential outcomes based on variables including adoption rates, ETF approvals, regulatory shifts, and network utility:

- : $0.85–$1.10, requiring sustained USDT dominance, successful ETF launch, and favorable macroeconomic conditions.

- : $0.55–$0.65, assuming steady growth in usage and stable market conditions.

- : $0.25–$0.32, possible if TRON loses market share or faces regulatory challenges [1].

Looking ahead, several factors could influence TRON’s trajectory. Sustained stablecoin activity, particularly in USDT settlements, is expected to drive TRX demand. Institutional adoption—especially the Nasdaq listing and potential ETF approval—will be key. Broader market sentiment, such as the emergence of an altcoin season, could also attract capital to mid-cap assets like TRON. Lastly, regulatory clarity—particularly in the U.S.—could unlock new investment flows [1].

TRON’s long-term prospects are supported by its stablecoin dominance, deflationary tokenomics, and growing institutional interest. However, the immediate challenge lies in breaking through key resistance levels and maintaining momentum amid a competitive blockchain environment. If adoption trends continue and institutional interest expands, Perplexity AI’s bullish projection above $1.00 could become more plausible. Traders, however, should remain cautious of profit-taking cycles and macroeconomic headwinds that could pull the price toward base or bearish levels [1].

The information provided here is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Always conduct independent research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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Source: [1] Perplexity AI’s TRON Price Predictions for 2026 – Coindoo. (https://coinmarketcap.com/community/articles/689837b2d2aecc707a2ad74f/)