Tron's $600B Volume Surge Contrasts With TRX's Bearish Price Struggle

TRX has drawn attention as both bullish and bearish signals shape its near-term outlook. Recent forecasts and technical analyses highlight a breakout potential to $0.38 within a two-week window, though conflicting indicators suggest caution. According to multiple sources, the price currently hovers around $0.35, with key resistance set at $0.37 and critical support at $0.33 [1]. Analysts from platforms such as Blockchain.News and CoinLore project a short-term target range of $0.345–$0.38, with some projecting a more aggressive $0.382815 in the medium term [1]. These estimates are supported by technical indicators like the RSI, MACD, and Fibonacci retracements, though bearish momentum remains evident in the current MACD histogram [1].

The Tron network itself continues to show strong fundamentals, recently processing over $600 billion in stablecoin transfers in a single month—surpassing Ethereum in volume. This record underscores Tron’s role as a key infrastructure for Tether’s USDT, with more than nine million daily transactions and over one million unique wallets interacting with stablecoins on the network [2]. Despite this, TRX faces bearish pressure on price charts, having recently slipped below a key ascending trendline and trading near $0.345. On-chain data, including CryptoQuant’s Spot Taker CVD and Coinglass’s funding rate, indicate sellers are gaining control, while momentum indicators like the RSI and MACD signal indecision and bearish crossovers [2].

The discrepancy between the network’s robust performance and TRX’s bearish technical indicators has created a mixed outlook for investors. While long-term bullish sentiment remains supported by Tron’s dominance in stablecoin settlement, short-term traders are advised to monitor key levels. A breakout above $0.37 could trigger the $0.38 target, but a failure to hold above $0.33 would likely open the door to a decline toward $0.29 [1]. Volume analysis also plays a critical role, with $259 million in daily trading volume on Binance providing sufficient liquidity for potential moves [1].

For traders considering entry strategies, a breakout above $0.37 or a pullback to the $0.33–$0.34 support zone are considered optimal. Conservative buyers are advised to look for entries near $0.33 with stop-losses below $0.31, while aggressive traders might target the $0.38 level on a confirmed breakout [1]. Position sizing is recommended to be limited to 2–3% of a portfolio given the mixed signals. If the $0.33 level fails, a retest of $0.29 could follow, representing a 17% drop from current levels [1].

The timeline for the projected $0.38 target is estimated at 7–14 days for an initial test of $0.37, with the full target achievable within 30 days if momentum confirms a breakout. Key indicators to monitor include the MACD histogram turning positive, sustained volume above $0.37, and RSI staying above 50 [1]. Invalidation of the bullish scenario would occur on a daily close below $0.33, shifting focus back to the $0.29 support level [1].

Source:

[1] TRX Price Prediction: TRON Targets $0.38 Breakout Within 2 Weeks Despite Bearish MACD Signals (https://blockchain.news/news/20250826-price-prediction-trx-tron-targets-038-breakout-within-2)

[2] TRX faces correction as Tron shatters $600B stablecoin record (https://coinjournal.net/news/trx-faces-correction-as-tron-shatters-600b-stablecoin-record/)