Triumph Financial's 15min chart: MACD Death Cross, Bollinger Bands Narrowing triggered.

Monday, Aug 11, 2025 2:18 pm ET1min read

Based on the technical analysis conducted using the 15-minute chart, Triumph Financial's stock price has recently triggered a MACD Death Cross, which is a bearish indicator signaling a potential continuation of the downward trend. Additionally, the narrowing of Bollinger Bands at 08/11/2025 14:15 suggests that the magnitude of the stock price fluctuations is decreasing, which could be an indication of increased volatility and unpredictability in the stock's price movement.

On July 02, 2025, Triumph Financial's stock price has been subject to significant technical analysis, revealing bearish indicators that could signal a continuation of the downward trend. The 15-minute chart of Triumph Financial, Inc. (TFIN) exhibited a MACD Death Cross on August 5, 2025, at 15:00, which is a well-known bearish indicator. This signal suggests that the short-term moving average has crossed below the long-term moving average, indicating a potential reversal in the stock's momentum [1].

Additionally, the narrowing of Bollinger Bands on August 11, 2025, at 14:15, is another significant indicator. Bollinger Bands measure the volatility of a stock's price by plotting two standard deviations above and below the moving average. The narrowing of these bands suggests that the magnitude of price fluctuations is decreasing, which could indicate increased volatility and unpredictability in the stock's price movement [1].

Market sentiment is also playing a crucial role in the current trend. Sellers currently dominate the market, and it is probable that bearish momentum will persist. The stock has been in a narrow and horizontal trend, with a recent break-up through the top trend line at $26.02 giving a strong buy signal. However, the current trend suggests a potential downward shift [1].

Triumph Financial, Inc., a Dallas-based financial holding company, has evolved from a traditional community bank into a fintech platform focused on modernizing the trucking industry's financial infrastructure. Despite a challenging freight recession and declining EPS since 2021, the company continues to invest heavily in technology, prioritizing scale and network density before monetization [1].

Management expects its fee-based revenues from Payments, LoadPay, Factoring-as-a-Service (FaaS), and Intelligence to surpass historical factoring income by late 2025. However, recent technical indicators suggest a significant downturn [1].

Triumph Financial, Inc. is not on the list of the 30 Most Popular Stocks Among Hedge Funds. As of the end of the first quarter, 13 hedge fund portfolios held TFIN, compared to 14 in the previous quarter [2].

References:
[1] https://www.ainvest.com/news/triumph-financial-15min-chart-triggered-macd-death-cross-bearish-marubozu-2508/
[2] https://finance.yahoo.com/news/triumph-financial-inc-tfin-bull-182204720.html

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