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Against the trend, is it time to buy the bottom? Nvidia (NVDA.US) is currently trading at a decade low valuation, with a target price of $185 set by Bernstein.

Market IntelTuesday, Mar 4, 2025 8:20 pm ET
1min read

Despite the recent volatility in nvidia (NVDA.US), Bernstein sees the stock's valuation as attractive and gives it a "Run Rating" and a price target of $185.

Nvidia shares closed down more than 8% on Monday, down 15% since the beginning of 2025. The fact that the AI giant recently started its Blackwell product cycle "is a bit shocking," according to Bernstein Group data.

Analysts led by Stacy Rasgon said in a Tuesday investor note that "after yesterday's sell-off, the stock trades at ~25x forward 12-month earnings, the lowest in a year, and near 10-year lows." "In fact, the stock is currently trading at a discount to the SOX index (a situation we've seen only a couple of times in the past decade), and just slightly above the S&P, the lowest since 2016."

By comparison, the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOX) is down 8% year-to-date.

Rasgon noted that "clearly, the introduction of Blackwell has not gone as smoothly as the company had hoped, given the attention to the supply chain, and there remains additional volatility." "However, they seem to have indeed solved the problem. Our post-earnings call with the company showed that all of Blackwell's $11bn in Q4 revenue shipped in January, and the company told us that it will continue to out-supply demand in the coming quarters as demand grows."

However, concerns about growth, potential supply chain issues, and tariff and regulatory risks have recently weighed on the stock.

"Despite this, we think the AI trade 'over' is a bit premature, and the valuation is becoming more attractive," Rasgon added. "Current market sentiment is clearly shifting to the AI group. However, consumer appetite seems to be continuing to rise, and one product cycle is just beginning, with GTC a few weeks away."

Nvidia's GTC 2025 is an AI conference for developers, which will take place in San Jose, California from March 17-21.

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rubiyan
03/05
$NVDA stop the nonsense! Trump crushed it tonight! You're lucky to be an American you whiny bitches!
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CorneredSponge
03/05
Nvidia's Blackwell cycle is a diamond in rough.
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kenton143
03/05
Nvidia's dip feels like a gift. Gonna hold and see how Blackwell cycles play out. 🚀
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moneymonster420
03/05
SOX index is sleeping giant, NVDA a steal.
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stertercsi
03/05
@moneymonster420 Agree, NVDA's a solid buy.
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ImplementEither7716
03/05
@moneymonster420 Think SOX will pop soon?
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PunchTornado
03/05
AI trade ain't over yet. Valuation's sweet, like a buy signal. SOX index makes it a steal.
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downtownjoshbrown
03/05
Holding NVDA long-term. Market swings don't faze me. GTC 2025 could be a game-changer.
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khasan14
03/05
Holding NVDA long-term, eyeing $185 target.
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RhinoInsight
03/05
GTC 2025 could spark next NVDA rally 🚀
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CorneredSponge
03/05
@RhinoInsight Think NVDA's gonna moon?
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charon-the-boatman
03/05
@RhinoInsight Yup, GTC could pump NVDA.
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WorkingCareful7935
03/05
Supply chain worries overblown, AI demand strong.
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Curious_Chef5826
03/05
@WorkingCareful7935 Agree, AI demand is solid.
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MrJSSmyth
03/05
@WorkingCareful7935 What about the growth concerns?
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Tiger_bomb_241
03/05
Nvidia's Blackwell bump ain't that scary. Supply chain sorted, earnings look good. Just a blip on the radar.
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