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TransDigm Group (TDG) rose 0.22% on 2025/8/28, with trading volume surging 69.97% to $0.60 billion, ranking 149th in market activity. Analysts remain optimistic despite recent challenges.
Analysts have maintained a strong buy consensus, with 17 of 23 covering the stock recommending "Strong Buy." The mean price target of $1,619.82 suggests a 16.1% upside from current levels. However, Q3 results revealed a 11.9% single-day drop after missing revenue and earnings estimates, despite a 9.3% year-over-year sales increase to $2.2 billion. Margins contracted, resulting in a 6.7% adjusted EPS growth to $9.60, below expectations.
TransDigm’s business model is resilient, with a focus on high-margin defense contracts and stable aftermarket services. The defense segment grew 13% year-over-year, while the 54.4% EBITDA margin and $1.88 billion in 2024 free cash flow highlight operational strength. Strategic acquisitions of niche aerospace firms further reinforce its competitive edge, insulating it from broader industry headwinds.
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