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From reaching deals with OpenAI to buying thousands more AMD chips, Oracle’s recent series of moves shows its ambition is being more than just “a database powerhouse” - the company now wants to position itself at the heart of the global AI infrastructure race. Such determination is making its stock even more attractive.
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Oracle Corp (ORCL): Riding the AI-Cloud Wave — With Eyes Wide Open
Median Price Target: $333
Recommendation: Buy
Oracle’s latest quarterly results (Q1 FY 2026) showed total revenue of $14.9 billion (+12% YoY) and non-GAAP EPS of $1.47 (+6% YoY). Its remaining performance obligations (RPO) — a measure of contracted future revenue — surged 359% year-over-year to $455 billion, reflecting a tidal wave of large cloud and AI contract wins.
The cloud segment continues to fuel Oracle’s narrative. Cloud (IaaS + SaaS) revenue climbed ~28% YoY, with infrastructure (IaaS) specifically growing ~55%.
has guided OCI revenue to grow 77% in FY 2026 to $18 billion, and management outlines a potential path to $144 billion over the next five years. Its MultiCloud database revenue, via partnerships with AWS, Google, and Microsoft, exploded ~1,529% in the quarter — showing increasing adoption of Oracle’s software stack within rival clouds.Strengths & Catalysts
Oracle’s growth trajectory continues to benefit from a massive backlog and strong revenue visibility, as reflected in its robust remaining performance obligations (RPO). This provides the company with a solid foundation and reduces near-term uncertainty around future earnings. At the same time, Oracle is sharpening its strategic focus on artificial intelligence and infrastructure expansion. Its newly announced partnership with AMD — involving the deployment of 50,000 MI450 AI chips across next-generation data centers — underscores a deepening commitment to AI compute capacity and long-term competitiveness in the cloud market.
If Oracle can scale its cloud operations efficiently, significant margin expansion could follow, as fixed infrastructure costs are spread over a growing revenue base. Analysts at Mizuho, for instance, project that Oracle’s cloud gross margins could eventually approach 25%. Reinforcing this optimism, many on Wall Street now view Oracle as a core AI–cloud hybrid play, with several firms recently raising their price targets in recognition of the company’s execution momentum and strengthening strategic position.
Outlook & Strategic View
Oracle today sits at a pivotal junction: it is no longer just a stalwart database and enterprise software company, but is actively chasing the mantle of an AI-compute infrastructure player. Its current valuation is aggressive, priced for flawless execution.
In a bull-case scenario, Oracle delivers or outpaces its guided growth, scales infrastructure efficiently, and sees margin recovery in its cloud/AI business. In that event,
could drive double-digit annual returns and justify many of its valuation multiples. In a base case, cloud growth continues, but margin expansion is gradual, and the stock gains modestly (mid-single to low double digits annually).Given the strength of its backlog and the secular AI/cloud tailwinds, I view ORCL as a high-conviction long idea, but one where patience is prudent. For new entrants, waiting for a pullback or confirmation of margin expansion may improve risk/reward. For existing holders, holding and monitoring execution metrics (cloud gross margins, RPO growth, capex efficiency) is key.
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