Toncoin Whale Inflows Surge 42.45% as Transaction Growth Rises 34%

Toncoin [TON] has experienced a significant surge in whale inflows, with a 42.45% increase over the past week. This influx of large holders marks a notable shift in market sentiment, as high-value wallets return to the market after a period of outflows. The timing of this inflow coincides with TON's defense of its support level, suggesting that accumulation is occurring during the consolidation phase. If this trend continues, it could provide the necessary liquidity for bulls to challenge overhead resistance and drive Toncoin into a new trend cycle.

TON's transaction growth has also seen a substantial increase, with a 34% rise this week. This growth is accompanied by a 29.63% increase in new addresses and a 23.08% rise in zero-balance wallets joining the network. Despite a 3.76% drop in active addresses, the overall growth indicates rising interest and may lay the foundation for a strong bullish recovery phase. At the time of writing, TON is trading at $2.88, reflecting a 1.38% daily gain.

The Adjusted Price DAA Divergence for Toncoin stands at +41.32%, indicating that user activity is growing ahead of price action. This metric suggests hidden strength, where real user demand increases even when the price lags. The current divergence supports a bullish outlook, signaling authentic usage rather than speculative spikes. Combined with growing wallet creation and increased whale inflows, TON's improving address dynamics could act as a springboard for a stronger move if resistance barriers are cleared in the coming days.

TON has defended the $2.60–$2.70 support region after repeated tests, marking a solid short-term bottom. However, the price remains below the descending trendline, with key Fibonacci levels at $3.15 and $3.28 acting as resistance zones. These levels have capped price rallies over the past month, making them critical for any upward breakout. A sustained close above $3.28 could trigger momentum toward the $3.46 and $3.69 levels. Until then, TON remains trapped in a tightening range, testing investor patience and market conviction.

Derivatives activity for TON has also surged, with volume up 54.48% to $94.54 million and Open Interest rising 4.83% to $192.22 million. This reflects growing speculative interest and confidence in directional moves. Increased volume typically leads to price discovery, especially when accompanied by rising Open Interest. With spot market support holding and on-chain fundamentals aligning, derivatives traders appear to be front-running a potential breakout. If TON clears its resistance cluster, these leveraged positions could amplify upward momentum significantly.

All eyes are on the $3.28 level as bullish pressure builds across markets. TON shows strong short-term recovery signs, supported by rising transaction growth, bullish divergence, whale inflows, and surging derivatives activity. However, all bullish momentum remains speculative unless $3.28 is decisively broken. Until then, TON’s outlook stays range-bound. Still, the convergence of on-chain strength and trading interest creates a compelling setup for price expansion. If bulls maintain pressure and flip resistance into support, TON could gain momentum for a move toward the $3.46–$3.69 area in the coming sessions.