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Toncoin (TON) has experienced a notable surge in its value, with a 16% increase following the release of Telegram founder Pavel Durov from French authorities. This development has reignited investor confidence and bullish momentum in the cryptocurrency market. The return of Durov's passport, allowing him to travel freely, has been a pivotal factor in the price spike, with TON surging above $3.45. This event has garnered significant attention from traders and analysts, who are now evaluating whether this surge marks the beginning of a major recovery or just a temporary rally.
Technical indicators for Toncoin have also turned bullish. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has climbed from deep oversold levels, and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) shows a bullish crossover. These signals suggest that buyers are regaining control after a prolonged selling phase, supported by increased buying volume. The overall crypto market is showing early signs of recovery, further boosting Toncoin's price.
Despite the recent bullish move, Toncoin still faces multiple resistance zones before confirming a full trend reversal. The most critical resistance levels to watch are the $3.50 - $3.75 zone and the $4.50 - $5.00 psychological barrier. If TON successfully breaks above these levels, it could rally toward $4.00 - $4.50 in the short term and $4.50 - $5.00 in the medium term. Conversely, if TON fails to break above $3.50, it could trigger a pullback, with the $2.80 support level being crucial in determining the sustainability of the recent gains.
Market sentiment will play a crucial role in Toncoin's price action, as it remains heavily influenced by the broader crypto landscape. Traders should remain cautious of potential profit-taking at key resistance zones and monitor RSI levels, MACD momentum, and the overall trend of the crypto market to confirm whether TON is in the early stages of a true reversal or just a temporary bounce. While the recent rally is a positive sign for Toncoin holders, the question remains whether this is the start of a major comeback or if TON will face another wave of selling pressure.

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