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Toast Best Positioned for Positive Revisions While Lightspeed Eyes Growth Acceleration, Morgan Stanley Says

Alpha InspirationTuesday, Oct 22, 2024 11:46 am ET
2min read
Toast, a leading cloud-based restaurant management platform, has demonstrated impressive growth in recent quarters, positioning itself favorably for positive revisions, according to Morgan Stanley. The company's strong financial performance, coupled with its expanding market reach, has analysts optimistic about its future prospects. Meanwhile, Lightspeed, a rival point-of-sale (POS) and payments platform, is also eyeing growth acceleration, as it prepares to report its fiscal second quarter 2025 financial results.

Toast's 29% year-over-year increase in total locations has significantly contributed to its growth trajectory. This expansion allows the company to reach a broader customer base, driving further adoption of its platform and services. As more restaurants and foodservice businesses embrace Toast's offerings, the company's market dominance is expected to grow, solidifying its position in the industry.

Toast's improved GAAP operating income and net income in Q2 2024 are indicative of its strong financial performance. The company's ability to generate profits while continuing to invest in growth is a testament to its efficient management and strategic decision-making. This financial strength will enable Toast to fund further expansion, product development, and market penetration, ultimately driving its long-term success.


Toast's expected 23-27% growth in non-GAAP subscription services and financial technology solutions gross profit in Q3 2024 is a positive sign for the company's future prospects. This growth compares favorably to its competitors, such as Lightspeed, which is also expected to report strong financial results. As Toast continues to innovate and expand its offerings, it is well-positioned to maintain its competitive edge in the market.


Toast's increased Adjusted EBITDA guidance for 2024 ($285 million to $305 million) is a clear indication of its commitment to driving long-term success. This improved outlook is a result of the company's strong financial performance and its ability to execute on its growth strategy. As Toast continues to generate positive cash flow and expand its market reach, its stock performance is expected to reflect the company's growing value.

Toast's growth in Gross Payment Volume (GPV) and Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) has contributed to Morgan Stanley's positive outlook on the company. The increasing adoption of Toast's platform by restaurants and foodservice businesses has driven these key metrics, which are crucial indicators of the company's financial health and growth potential.


Toast's expansion of Total Locations and increase in GAAP and non-GAAP gross profit have significantly impacted its valuation and future prospects. As the company continues to grow its customer base and generate revenue, its market capitalization is expected to reflect the growing value of its platform and services. This positive trajectory is supported by Toast's strong financial performance and its ability to execute on its growth strategy.

Toast's improved operating income, net income, and Adjusted EBITDA in Q2 2024 have further solidified Morgan Stanley's positive outlook on the company. The company's ability to generate profits while investing in growth is a testament to its efficient management and strategic decision-making. As Toast continues to execute on its growth strategy, its financial performance is expected to remain strong, driving further market penetration and stock performance.


In conclusion, Toast's impressive growth in total locations, strong financial performance, and positive outlook have positioned it favorably for positive revisions. As the company continues to innovate and expand its offerings, it is well-positioned to maintain its competitive edge in the market. Meanwhile, Lightspeed is also eyeing growth acceleration, as it prepares to report its fiscal second quarter 2025 financial results. Both companies are expected to continue driving growth and value in the POS and payments industry.
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