TLM -6876.4% in 1 Year Amid Market Divergence

On SEP 6 2025, TLM dropped by 188.24% within 24 hours to reach $0.00421, TLM dropped by 165.09% within 7 days, dropped by 608.11% within 1 month, and dropped by 6876.4% within 1 year.

The recent sharp decline in TLM has sparked widespread scrutiny in the crypto market. Following a prolonged bearish trend, the token's 188.24% drop in a single day intensified concerns over liquidity and investor confidence. This movement occurred against a backdrop of broader market uncertainty, with traders closely monitoring TLM's on-chain activity for signals of potential stabilization.

The 24-hour drop was preceded by a steady erosion of key support levels, with the token failing to hold above $0.009 throughout the prior week. Analysts have attributed the decline to a combination of reduced on-chain activity and weak accumulation patterns. While no official statement was made by project developers, the absence of intervention has led to speculation about the token’s underlying fundamentals. Analysts project that without meaningful on-chain activity, the token could continue to experience volatility in the short term.

From a technical standpoint, TLM’s chart has shown a breakdown in long-term bullish momentum, with the 200-day EMA now functioning as a critical resistance-turned-support barrier. The token has also failed to maintain positive RSI readings above 50 for more than three days, suggesting a lack of conviction from long-term holders. Additionally, the MACD line has crossed below the signal line, reinforcing a bearish bias. These metrics collectively point to a lack of institutional interest and limited retail participation, further clouding the token’s outlook.

Backtest Hypothesis

Given the recent technical deterioration in TLM’s chart, a backtesting strategy has been proposed to evaluate whether historical patterns could have predicted or mitigated the current downturn. The hypothetical strategy is based on a moving average crossover system, specifically the 50-period and 200-period exponential moving averages (EMA). The strategy assumes a sell signal when the 50-EMA crosses below the 200-EMA, and a buy signal when the 50-EMA crosses back above the 200-EMA.

Applying this approach to TLM’s past performance could have potentially flagged the downturn earlier in the cycle. The strategy also incorporates stop-loss and take-profit levels, with the stop-loss set at a 10% trailing level and the take-profit target at 15% above entry. This method aims to reduce exposure to sharp declines by exiting positions early in bearish phases, while still attempting to capture short-term rebounds.