TJX Companies Gains 1.17% with $900M Volume Ranked 90th as Earnings Outlook Fuels Optimism

On August 19, 2025, The TJX Companies Inc. (NYSE: TJX) closed with a 1.17% increase, trading at $0.90 billion in volume, ranking 90th in market activity for the day. The stock has drawn attention ahead of its scheduled Q2 earnings release on August 20, with analysts forecasting $1.01 per share on $14.16 billion in revenue, marking a 4% year-over-year earnings rise and 5% revenue growth compared to prior-year figures. Historical data indicates a 65% probability of post-earnings gains, with a median one-day return of 3.5% and a maximum observed gain of 7%.

The company, parent to T.J. Maxx, Marshalls, and HomeGoods, has consistently captured market share in value-driven retail amid inflationary pressures and shifting consumer behavior. Over the past 12 months, TJX generated $57 billion in revenue, $6.3 billion in operating profits, and $4.8 billion in net income, supporting its $148 billion market capitalization. Traders are closely monitoring whether the firm can extend its historical post-earnings performance, particularly as the 65% positive return rate has risen to 73% over the past three years.

A strategy of buying the top 500 stocks by daily trading volume and holding them for one day from 2022 to 2025 yielded a 1.98% average one-day return, with a total annual return of 7.61%. However, the approach demonstrated modest risk-adjusted returns, as evidenced by a Sharpe ratio of 0.71, highlighting the limited effectiveness of volume-based trading in this period.