TJX’s 167th Ranked $620M Volume Sparks Institutional Bullishness and UBS Buy Rating

On August 4, 2025, The TJX Companies, Inc. (TJX) closed at $129.22, rising 2.56% with a trading volume of $0.62 billion, ranking 167th in market activity. Institutional investors including Empirical Financial Services and MGO One Seven increased holdings, while entities like Davis R M Inc. trimmed positions. Analyst activity highlighted UBS reaffirming a Buy rating, citing 11% EPS growth potential amid shifting retail dynamics.

Recent institutional activity reflects diverging strategies. Over 30 firms adjusted stakes in TJX between July 26 and August 1, with purchases by TD Asset Management ($582.38 million) and Mediolanum International ($39.65 million), alongside sales by Baillie Gifford (-$27,781 shares) and Federated Hermes. These moves underscore TJX’s position as a focal point in bargain retail amid macroeconomic uncertainty and tariff volatility, with analysts noting its potential to outperform peers like Ross Stores (ROST) and Dollar General (DG).

Strategic positioning in off-price retail remains critical. UBS analysts emphasized TJX’s resilience in an onshoring boom, while Zacks highlighted its historical earnings-beating performance. The stock’s 3.26% six-month return (vs. S&P 500’s 5.4%) reflects investor confidence in its ability to navigate e-commerce pressures and shifting consumer spending patterns, particularly in grocery-anchored shopping center demand.

The strategy of purchasing the top 500 stocks by daily trading volume and holding them for one day delivered a 166.71% return from 2022 to the present, outperforming the benchmark return of 29.18% by 137.53%. This underscores the role of liquidity concentration in short-term stock performance, particularly in volatile markets.