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On June 5, 2025,
stock surged by 13.08% in pre-market trading, reflecting a significant upward momentum in investor sentiment.Tilly's, Inc. has been navigating through a strategic inflection point, with Q1 sales dipping 7.1% to $107.6 million. However, the trend is showing signs of improvement, with sequential comparable sales improving by 4.2 points from Q4's 11.2% decline and May's sales ticking up 2.2% year-over-year. This stabilization indicates a potential turnaround for the teen apparel retailer.
The company's focus on inventory management and store optimization is paying off. Inventory levels have decreased by 3.8% year-over-year, and the closure of 8 stores since last year has helped streamline operations. E-commerce continues to be a strong contributor, accounting for 20.2% of sales, up from 19.9%. This digital grip is crucial as teens and young adults return to mall traffic, positioning Tilly's strategically placed locations to capture this shift.
Tilly's financial health is robust, with $37.2 million in cash and $55.4 million in undrawn credit, totaling liquidity of $106 million to $111 million by Q2. The company has no debt, providing a strong financial foundation. Management is confident that even if sales dip another 10%, borrowing will not be necessary. The planned closure of 15-18 locations by year-end is a strategic move to focus resources on prime locations, rather than a sign of retrenchment.
Looking ahead to Q2, Tilly's guidance calls for sales between $150 million and $158 million, flat to up 0% versus last year. More importantly, net income could swing to a $2 million profit by August, marking a significant turnaround. If sales stabilize and costs remain under control, Tilly's could be cash-flow positive by year-end, transforming from a value trap to a value rocket.

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