Threshold (TUSDT) Market Overview – 2025-08-25

• Threshold (TUSDT) broke below key support, with bearish momentum picking up in late ET trading.
• A large 15-minute bearish engulfing pattern confirmed the breakdown near $0.01655.
• Volatility expanded as volume surged over 14 million TUSDT in the early hours of 2025-08-25.
• RSI indicates oversold conditions, hinting at potential short-term consolidation or rebound.
• Price closed near the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of the morning rally, signaling a critical near-term support.

Threshold (TUSDT) opened at $0.0166 on 2025-08-24 at 12:00 ET, peaked at $0.0174 before the close, and closed at $0.0164 on 2025-08-25 at 12:00 ET. Total volume was 105.9 million TUSDT, with a notional turnover of $18.5 million over 24 hours.

Structure & Formations

A strong bearish reversal pattern formed around 2025-08-25 04:15 ET, where price surged to $0.0174 before crashing below $0.01655. The breakdown was confirmed by a bearish engulfing candle and a deep close near the 15-minute session’s low. Key support levels emerged around $0.0164–$0.0165, coinciding with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the earlier upward move.

Moving Averages

On the 15-minute chart, the price moved well below both the 20 EMA and 50 EMA by late ET, indicating a clear bearish bias. While the 50 EMA has held as resistance in the morning, it has since transitioned to support. The daily chart shows the 50/100/200 EMA all trending lower, suggesting continuation of the bear trend.

MACD & RSI

MACD showed a bearish crossover earlier in the session and remained in negative territory. The histogram has been shrinking slightly since 07:00 ET, suggesting easing bearish momentum. RSI dropped into oversold territory below 30 at the close, hinting that further downside may be limited without a reentry into overbought conditions.

Bollinger Bands

Volatility expanded sharply during the breakdown with a widening of the Bollinger Bands from $0.0164 to $0.0174. Price closed near the lower band at $0.0164, indicating a bearish signal and potential for a bounce. However, a sustained close above $0.01652 would signal a shift in sentiment.

Volume & Turnover

Volume surged to over 14 million TUSDT during the critical 04:15 ET candle, confirming the bearish breakdown. Turnover spiked to $2.3 million during that period. However, the subsequent volume has declined, suggesting that selling pressure is waning. Divergence between price and volume suggests a possible near-term reversal.

Fibonacci Retracements

Price closed near the 61.8% retracement level of the morning rally from $0.01655 to $0.01718, at around $0.0164. This level is likely to be a critical support zone. A break below it could target the next 78.6% level near $0.01625, while a bounce may test the 50% retracement at $0.0168.

Threshold appears to be entering a consolidation phase after a sharp bearish move. While the near-term bear trend is intact, oversold RSI and waning volume suggest that a small rebound into the $0.0167–$0.0168 range may occur. Investors should watch for a break of $0.0164.5, which may trigger further bearish momentum. Volatility remains high, and price could swing sharply in either direction within the next 24 hours.