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Think Nvidia Stock Is Expensive? This Chart Might Change Your Mind

Clyde MorganSaturday, Nov 2, 2024 11:17 am ET
1min read
Nvidia's stock price has been on a meteoric rise, with investors wondering if the company's valuation is justified. While Nvidia's current PE ratio of 63.49 may seem high, a closer look at the company's historical performance and industry peers reveals a different story.


Nvidia's average PE ratio over the past decade has been 45.45, with a minimum of 16.72 and a maximum of 123.15. This indicates that Nvidia's current valuation is not unprecedented. When compared to its industry peers like AMD (18.88) and Intel (12.03), Nvidia's PE ratio may seem expensive, but it's important to consider the company's growth prospects and market leadership in AI and data center technologies.


Nvidia's stock price growth has closely mirrored its earnings growth over the past 5 years. Despite the stock's recent surge, its price-to-earnings ratio has remained relatively stable, indicating that the market has priced in expected earnings growth. The company's strong performance in AI and data center markets has driven both earnings and stock price growth.


Nvidia's recent stock splits, including a 4:1 split in 2020 and a 10:1 split in 2024, have significantly impacted its valuation metrics. Post-split, the company's share price has surged, reaching an all-time high of $138.07 in 2024. Despite the higher share price, Nvidia's market capitalization has remained relatively stable, indicating that the splits have not fundamentally altered the company's valuation. However, the splits have made Nvidia's stock more accessible to retail investors, potentially driving increased demand and liquidity.


In conclusion, Nvidia's current valuation may seem high, but a historical perspective and consideration of its industry peers reveal a different story. The company's strong growth prospects in AI and data center technologies, as well as its recent stock splits, support its high valuation. However, investors should remain cautious and monitor Nvidia's performance closely, as the tech sector can be volatile, and high valuations can quickly unwind.
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-Joseeey-
11/02
$SMCI Supermicro has installed over 100,000 NVIDIA GPUs with liquid cooling (DLC) at some of the largest AI facilities and other CSPs. These servers require around 12kW each for AI and HPC tasks, making liquid cooling essential for maintaining the optimal operating temperature for NVIDIA GPUs and CPUs. A single AI rack now produces over 100kW of heat, which must be effectively extracted from the data center. Large-scale liquid cooling in data centers reduces the power requirement for a specific cluster size, often by up to 40%, enabling you to deploy more AI servers within a fixed power limit. This results in increased computing capacity and reduced LLM training time, crucial for large CSPs and AI factories.
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Sensitive_Chapter226
11/02
$NVDA Keep an eye out for a potential surge to $185 this month! Something big is on the horizon!
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aj_cohen
11/02
$NVDA I never imagined I'd find myself eagerly anticipating Monday!
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PikaZoz123
11/02
$SMCI Supermicro has just installed over 100,000 NVIDIA GPUs with liquid cooling (DLC) for a selection of massive AI facilities and other CSPs. These servers require around 12kW each for AI and HPC tasks, making liquid cooling ideal for maintaining the necessary operating temperature for both NVIDIA GPUs and CPUs. Each AI rack now produces over 100kW of heat, which must be effectively extracted from the data center. Implementing large-scale liquid cooling in datacenters reduces the power requirement for a given cluster size, sometimes by up to 40%. This power reduction enables you to pack more AI servers into a fixed power budget, boosting computational capacity and shortening LLM training times—both crucial for these large CSPs and AI factories.
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vivifcgb
11/02
$SMCI While I concur with the overwhelmingly negative news, it's evident that the company has issues with its accounting practices and SEC filings. The E&Y Report highlights significant concerns, making it clear there are problems at Supermicro. Moreover, there seems to be animosity between E&Y and SMCI, indicating a strained relationship. Despite these challenges, I remain optimistic for the following reasons: - Supermicro is a critical component for major tech giants like NVIDIA, Tesla, and Meta. - Their innovative cooling technology is highly sought-after, especially for large data centers. - Having directly interacted with their executives and visited their showroom, I can attest to the fact that they have secured substantial deals for building massive data centers. - Although there are accounting issues, I believe they will be resolved eventually. They might face a financial penalty but could also come up with a plan to recover. - Supermicro is a family business, with Charles and Sara owning over 20% of the company. This personal commitment lends stability and longevity to the organization.
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michael_curdt
11/02
$NVDA New forecast: on Monday, we make a leap at the open, aiming for $145. By Monday's close, we anticipate a surge to $148. Following Trump's victory on Tuesday night, we expect a further rise to $152. By Friday's closing bell, we will be at $155!
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ContentSort1597
11/02
$AMD - Just like nature, sometimes you've got to fall back to move forward. Spring is on its way, DST or not.
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