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Texas Instruments Faces Stock Slide Amid Mixed Q4 Financials and Global Challenges

Mover TrackerTuesday, Jan 28, 2025 5:44 pm ET
1min read
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Texas Instruments (TI), a pivotal player in the semiconductor industry, recently revealed its financial performance for the fourth quarter of 2024, showing a mixed outlook amidst ongoing market challenges. The company's revenue for the quarter stood at $40.1 billion, reflecting a 2% year-over-year decrease, yet it slightly exceeded analyst expectations. Despite this, TI's net income fell by 12.1% to $12.05 billion, with earnings per share of $1.3, surpassing the anticipated $1.21 per share.

Breaking down its revenue streams, Texas Instruments derived 34% of its income from the industrial sector and 35% from automotive, revealing the persisting market weaknesses. Meanwhile, the embedded processors segment experienced an 18% decline, indicating challenges in key sectors like automotive and industrial applications. This points toward a slow recovery in these domains, despite a 2% growth in the analog business which added some stability.

The financial strain TI faces is underscored by its rising inventory levels, hitting $4.5 billion, extending turnover days to 244 from last year's 225. This situation reflects ongoing demand forecasting issues, compounded by competitive pressures resulting in over a 10% decline in both operating and net profits. The annual comparisons are starker, with the company's revenue down by 10.7% to $156.41 billion and net income dipping by 26.3%.

Amid these challenges, TI's strategic direction involves significant capital investments, with expenditures of $48 billion on new facilities and bolstering wafer production, particularly in 300mm technology that offers substantial savings in manufacturing costs. Plans for expansion in Texas and Utah signal a long-term commitment to meeting anticipated demand in automotive, industrial, and communication sectors.

The outlook for the first quarter of 2025 remains cautious. TI forecasts revenues between $37.4 billion and $40.6 billion, with earnings per share ranging from $0.94 to $1.16, falling below market expectations. Analysts have voiced concerns over ongoing margin pressures, particularly in light of TI's capital expenditure wave, which continues to dampen gross margin recovery.

Internationally, TI faces scrutiny in China, where an investigation into the alleged dumping of mature technology chips has been announced by China's Ministry of Commerce. Despite these allegations, TI indicates it has not received formal notification of such an inquiry. The company's prior strategy of aggressive pricing in China, aimed at reducing inventories and capturing market share, underscores the competitive landscape challenges.

Looking ahead, the trajectory for Texas Instruments and the broader semiconductor industry remains contingent upon macroeconomic conditions and demand recovery, particularly in automotive and industrial applications. The Chinese market continues to show potential as a growth area for TI, buoyed by strong demand for automotive and consumer electronics semiconductors, although global headwinds persist.

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