Tether May Face Bitcoin Sell-Off to Meet US Stablecoin Rules: JPMorgan
Friday, Feb 14, 2025 4:06 am ET
Tether, the world's largest stablecoin issuer, may face a significant challenge in the near future as proposed U.S. stablecoin regulations could force it to sell some of its Bitcoin holdings. According to a report by JPMorgan, the proposed bills in the U.S. could require Tether to replace its non-compliant assets with compliant ones, potentially leading to a sell-off of its Bitcoin reserves.
Tether's flagship product, USDT, is the third-largest cryptocurrency by market cap and the biggest in terms of 24-hour trading volume. With a market dominance of nearly 60%, any significant changes in Tether's reserve management could have a ripple effect on the entire crypto market. The proposed U.S. stablecoin regulations, specifically the Stablecoin Transparency and Accountability for a Better Ledger Economy (STABLE) Act and the Guiding and Establishing National Innovation for U.S. Stablecoins (GENIUS) Act, could significantly impact Tether's market position and reserve management strategy.
Under the STABLE Act, only 66% of Tether's reserves meet compliance standards, while under the GENIUS Act, the figure rises to 83%. If either bill is passed, Tether would be required to shift a significant portion of its holdings into more liquid assets, such as U.S. Treasuries. This could involve selling non-compliant assets like Bitcoin, precious metals, corporate paper, and secured loans.
Tether CEO Paolo Ardoino dismissed the idea that Tether would need to sell its Bitcoin holdings, stating that "JPM analysts are salty because they don't own Bitcoin." However, the potential impact of selling non-compliant assets on the crypto market remains a valid concern, given the proposed U.S. stablecoin regulations and Tether's significant market share.

The regulatory pressure on Tether is not limited to the U.S. The stablecoin issuer has already encountered hurdles in Europe, where the Markets in Crypto-Assets (MiCA) regulation mandates that large issuers hold 60% of reserves in EU-based banks. This led to Tether's delisting from several European exchanges, although its limited market share in the region softened the blow. The U.S. market, however, presents a greater challenge due to Tether's significant dominance.
In response to these potential regulatory changes, Tether has been actively engaging with local regulators and monitoring the evolution of the different U.S. stablecoin bills. The company has also been working closely with law enforcement to freeze funds suspected to be used by criminals, demonstrating its commitment to compliance and transparency.
In conclusion, the proposed U.S. stablecoin regulations could have a significant impact on Tether's market position and reserve management strategy. The company may need to adapt its reserve management strategy to comply with the new regulations, potentially affecting the broader crypto market. However, Tether has been proactive in engaging with regulators and maintaining transparency, which could help mitigate the impact of these regulatory changes. As the crypto market continues to evolve, it is essential for investors to stay informed about the latest developments and adapt their strategies accordingly.