Tesla Surges 3.66% on Options Frenzy: Can This Bull Run Outrun Regulatory Headwinds?

Summary
• Tesla (TSLA) surges 3.66% to $327.61, hitting a 2025 intraday high of $330.48
• Leveraged ETFs like TSLG (+7.38%) and TSLT (+7.23%) mirror TSLA’s bullish momentum
• Options chain sees $330 call ($330) dominate turnover at $64.7M, with 118k contracts traded
• Short-term technicals show MACD (0.57) above signal line and RSI (61.11) in overbought territory

Tesla’s 3.66% intraday rally has ignited a frenzy in leveraged ETFs and options, with the stock trading near its 2025 peak. The move defies a weak sector as Ford declines 1.35%, suggesting TSLA’s surge stems from product-specific catalysts rather than broad automotive trends. With options turnover exceeding $300M and technicals pointing to overbought conditions, the market is betting on a continuation of the bullish momentum.

Options Volatility and Regulatory Uncertainty Drive TSLA’s Intraday Rally
Tesla’s 3.66% intraday gain is fueled by a surge in call options trading, particularly at the $330 strike where 118,577 contracts traded for $64.7M in turnover. The options chain shows aggressive positioning with the TSLA20250801C330 call option exhibiting a 56.44% leverage ratio and 45.30% implied volatility. This suggests institutional investors are aggressively hedging against a potential regulatory crackdown highlighted in recent news about Tesla’s rocky road from EV maker to robotaxi juggernaut. The 200-day moving average at $319.62 and Bollinger Bands ($291.46–$338.23) further indicate the stock is trading near its short-term overbought threshold.

TSLG and TSLT ETFs Amplify Exposure as Call Options Show Gamma-Driven Momentum
• MACD: 0.57 (bullish divergence), Signal Line: 0.09 (buy signal), Histogram: 0.48 (momentum)
• RSI: 61.11 (overbought), 200-day MA: $319.62 (below price), Bollinger Bands: $291.46–$338.23
• Support/Resistance: 30D ($315.84–$316.93), 200D ($325.46–$330.78)

The Battleshares TSLA vs F ETF (ELON) at $13.66 (+9.23%) and Leverage Shares 2X Long TSLA Daily ETF (TSLG) at $6.035 (+7.38%) offer leveraged exposure to TSLA’s momentum. Key technical levels to watch include the 200D MA ($319.62) as support and the upper Bollinger Band ($338.23) as resistance. Two standout options are:

• TSLA20250801C330
- Call option with $330 strike, expiring August 1

• TSLA20250801C327.5

Aggressive bulls should consider TSLA20250801C330 into a test of the $330.78 200D resistance. If $325 breaks, TSLA20250801C327.5 offers a balanced leveraged play.

Backtest Tesla Stock Performance
Following a 4% intraday increase, Tesla (TSLA) delivered remarkable performance, significantly outshining the benchmark. The backtest results reveal a strategy return of 211.71%, with an excess return of 122.98% relative to the benchmark, which achieved a return of 88.74% during the same period. This indicates a substantial capital appreciation opportunity when TSLA experiences a strong intraday surge.

TSLA’s $330.78 200D Resistance Test: Position for a Breakout or Prepare for a Pullback
Tesla’s intraday surge to $327.61 has created a pivotal juncture as the stock approaches its 200-day moving average ($319.62) and upper Bollinger Band ($338.23). With RSI at 61.11 and MACD above the signal line, the technical case for continuation is strong, but the overbought condition warns of potential volatility. Investors should monitor the $325–$330.78 range as a critical inflection point—break above $330.78 signals a potential 52-week high retest, while a breakdown below $315.84 could trigger a retest of the 30D MA. Given Ford’s -1.35% drag on the sector, TSLA’s move appears product-specific. Aggressive positioning in TSLA20250801C330 or TSLG makes sense for those betting on a regulatory-driven rally, but conservative traders should watch for a pullback below $316 before adding exposure.