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The recent speculation that Tesla’s board may have explored replacing CEO Elon Musk has reignited a fundamental question about the automaker’s future: How much of Tesla’s success—and its stock price—is tethered to Musk’s personal involvement? Ross Gerber, a longtime
investor and co-founder of Kawasaki Wealth and Investment Management, offered a blunt assessment on Bloomberg’s The Close: “Nothing happens at Tesla without Musk knowing.” Gerber’s remarks, delivered just days after a Wall Street Journal report detailed Tesla’s potential CEO search, underscore the precarious position of a company whose valuation and operational direction remain inextricably linked to its mercurial leader.
Gerber’s credibility on this front is hard to dismiss. Having invested in Tesla since 2010, he has navigated the company’s tumultuous journey from near-bankruptcy to market dominance. His assertion that Musk’s influence permeates every corner of Tesla reflects not just investor sentiment but also the reality of Musk’s hands-on management style. Even as Tesla’s board faces increased scrutiny over governance, Gerber suggested that any leadership change would require a successor who could replicate Musk’s vision—and that such a figure is “not easy to find.”
The market has long treated Tesla as Musk’s personal project. Consider the stock’s volatility: . The company’s valuation surged during periods of Musk’s bold announcements—from the Cybertruck’s unveiling to his Twitter X venture—only to retreat during regulatory setbacks or personal controversies. For investors, Musk is both the company’s greatest asset and its most significant risk.
The WSJ report, which cited anonymous sources claiming Tesla’s board discussed leadership changes, sent Tesla’s shares down 4% in a single day. That reaction highlights the delicate balance investors strike when weighing Musk’s indispensability against the need for professionalized governance. While Tesla’s Model 3 production milestones and global Gigafactories represent institutional achievements, its stock remains a referendum on Musk’s next move.
Gerber’s analysis also touches on the challenges of succession. Potential replacements, such as current Chief Financial Officer Zachary Kirkhorn or former Apple executive Doug Field, lack Musk’s charisma and vision. Even if a successor could stabilize governance, the question remains: Would Tesla’s innovation—and its stock—continue to thrive without Musk’s disruptive influence?
The data is unequivocal: . Since Musk became CEO in 2008, Tesla’s stock has risen over 5,000%, far outpacing broader market gains. Yet this growth has come with extreme volatility, reflecting Musk’s unpredictable public persona. Institutional investors, increasingly focused on ESG metrics and stable leadership, now face a stark choice: Double down on Musk’s vision or demand a safer, less visionary path.
In the end, Gerber’s comment is a reminder that Tesla’s success is a product of its CEO’s singular focus—a focus that, for better or worse, shapes every decision. As long as Musk remains at the helm, Tesla will be a high-risk, high-reward proposition. Remove him, and the company may lose its edge but gain the stability investors crave. The board’s challenge is clear: Can they have both?
Conclusion
Tesla’s future hinges on resolving this paradox. Musk’s influence is undeniable: under his leadership, Tesla’s market cap has grown from $2 billion to over $500 billion, and its vehicles now account for nearly 20% of U.S. EV sales. Yet his absence would likely reduce execution risks tied to regulatory battles and personal liabilities. Gerber’s warning—that no move at Tesla occurs without Musk’s knowledge—suggests the company’s trajectory remains a personal extension of its CEO. For investors, the calculus is straightforward: Musk’s vision drives growth, but his indispensability creates a ceiling. Until Tesla proves it can innovate independently, its stock will remain a bet on one man’s next big idea.
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