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Tepezza’s EU Approval Breakthrough: A Game-Changer for Amgen Investors?

Wesley ParkSaturday, Apr 26, 2025 2:44 am ET
14min read

Breaking news! The European Medicines Agency’s CHMP just handed amgen a major win with their positive opinion for Tepezza in treating severe Thyroid Eye Disease (TED). This isn’t just a small step—it’s a giant leap for patients and investors alike. Let’s dig into why this could be a blockbuster moment.

First, the facts: On April 26, 2025, the CHMP recommended approval for Tepezza as the first-ever therapy for moderate-to-severe TED in the EU. This rare autoimmune disease—often linked to Graves’ disease—currently forces patients into risky surgeries or steroid treatments. Tepezza, an IGF-1R inhibitor, offers a non-invasive alternative that targets the root cause of the disease.

Why this matters for investors:
- First-mover advantage: Tepezza is already approved in the U.S., Brazil, and Saudi Arabia. Now, with EU approval imminent (expected within 90 days), Amgen unlocks a market of 450 million people with no competing therapies.
- Orphan drug exclusivity: The EU grants 10 years of market exclusivity for orphan drugs. This locks out competitors until 2035, ensuring steady revenue.
- Strong clinical data: Trials showed Tepezza reduced eye bulging (proptosis) in just 6 weeks, with 83% of patients achieving clinically meaningful improvements in severe cases.

The numbers behind the drug’s potential:
- Patient population: TED affects roughly 15 per 100,000 people globally. In the EU, that translates to ~67,500 patients. Half of these have moderate-to-severe disease, creating a 33,750-patient addressable market.
- Pricing power: Tepezza’s U.S. list price is ~$350,000 per course. Even at a 40% discount in Europe (common for public health systems), that’s still €126 million in annual EU sales—and that’s a conservative estimate.
- Amgen’s stock: The company’s pipeline has been under pressure lately, but Tepezza could reinvigorate growth.

What could go wrong?
- Side effects: The CHMP flagged risks like muscle spasms, hyperglycemia, and hearing loss. However, these are manageable, and the drug’s benefits clearly outweigh the risks in severe cases.
- Pricing pushback: EU governments could negotiate lower prices, but the lack of alternatives gives Amgen leverage.

Bottom line: This is a buy for long-term investors. Tepezza isn’t just a niche drug—it’s a $1 billion+ asset in the making. With no competitors on the horizon and a clear path to approval, Amgen’s stock deserves a closer look.

Final verdict: The CHMP’s nod isn’t just a win for TED patients—it’s a win for Amgen shareholders. This approval cements Tepezza as a cornerstone therapy in a $5+ billion global rare disease market. Investors who act now could reap the rewards as Amgen’s next growth driver hits the clinic and the bottom line.

Action Alert: With the stock still trading below its 2023 highs despite this news, now’s the time to consider a position. But don’t wait too long—the EU’s approval will send ripples across Amgen’s portfolio, and this could be the catalyst the stock needs to shine.

Disclaimer: the above is a summary showing certain market information. AInvest is not responsible for any data errors, omissions or other information that may be displayed incorrectly as the data is derived from a third party source. Communications displaying market prices, data and other information available in this post are meant for informational purposes only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any security. Please do your own research when investing. All investments involve risk and the past performance of a security, or financial product does not guarantee future results or returns. Keep in mind that while diversification may help spread risk, it does not assure a profit, or protect against loss in a down market.