Tempus AI Surges 9.35% on Record Revenue and AI-Driven Growth Momentum

Summary
• Tempus AI (TEM) rockets 9.35% intraday to $72.47, defying a weak open at $75.34
• Preliminary 2025 revenue hits $1.27B, up 83% YoY, with data licensing growing 38%
• CEO Eric Lefkofsky touts AI as a catalyst for 2026, with TCV exceeding $1.1B

Tempus AI’s stock is surging on a blockbuster day of data-driven optimism. The company’s preliminary 2025 results—highlighting 83% revenue growth and a record $1.1B Total Contract Value—have ignited investor enthusiasm. With AI integration accelerating across its diagnostics and data platforms, the stock’s 9.35% rally reflects a bullish re-rating of its long-term potential.

Record Revenue and AI Synergy Fuel Rally
Tempus AI’s 9.35% intraday surge stems from its preliminary 2025 financial results, which revealed $1.27 billion in revenue (up 83% YoY) and $316 million in data and applications revenue (up 31% YoY). The CEO’s emphasis on AI as a catalyst for 2026 growth, coupled with a 126% net revenue retention rate, has positioned the stock as a high-conviction play. The announcement of $1.1B in Total Contract Value—secured with 70+ pharma clients—further underscores its market leadership in AI-enabled precision medicine.

Healthcare Tech Sector Volatile as Tempus Outperforms Peers
While the broader healthcare tech sector remains mixed, Tempus AI’s 9.35% gain starkly contrasts with IQVIA (IQV)’s 0.52% decline. The sector’s focus on AI integration and data monetization aligns with Tempus’s momentum, but its standalone performance highlights investor confidence in its AI-driven precision medicine model. The Tradr 2X Long TEM Daily ETF (TEMT) surged 17.63%, amplifying the stock’s volatility.

Leverage TEMT and Strategic Options for High-Volatility Play
• 200-day average: 68.23 (below current price)
• RSI: 58.19 (neutral to overbought)
• MACD: -1.66 (bullish divergence with signal line at -2.60)
• Bollinger Bands: 73.19 (upper), 65.60 (middle), 58.02 (lower)

Tempus AI’s technicals suggest a short-term bullish trend amid long-term consolidation. Key support at $64.34 and resistance at $73.19 define the immediate range. The Tradr 2X Long TEM Daily ETF (TEMT) offers amplified exposure to this volatility. For options, focus on high-leverage, high-liquidity contracts with moderate deltas and strong gamma/theta profiles.

Top Options Picks:
• TEM20260116C70 (Call, $70 strike, 1/16 expiration):
- IV: 95.67% (high volatility)
- Leverage Ratio: 16.14% (moderate)
- Delta: 0.6366 (moderate sensitivity)
- Theta: -0.6512 (rapid time decay)
- Gamma: 0.0464 (high sensitivity to price swings)
- Turnover: 271,163 (liquid)
- Payoff at 5% upside ($76.09): $6.09/share. This call benefits from a breakout above $73.19, leveraging high gamma for rapid gains if the stock accelerates.

• TEM20260116P70 (Put, $70 strike, 1/16 expiration):
- IV: 78.42% (moderate)
- Leverage Ratio: 45.19% (high)
- Delta: -0.3431 (moderate bearish exposure)
- Theta: -0.0232 (slow decay)
- Gamma: 0.0554 (high sensitivity)
- Turnover: 63,288 (liquid)
- Payoff at 5% upside ($76.09): $0.00 (no intrinsic value). While the put is bearish, its high gamma makes it a hedge against a sharp reversal below $65.60.

Action Insight: Aggressive bulls should buy TEM20260116C70 into a test of $73.19. Conservative traders may short TEM20260116P70 if the stock consolidates below $69.00.

Backtest Tempus AI Stock Performance
The backtest for TEM's performance after a 9% intraday surge from 2022 to now is currently unavailable. The reason for this is that the dedicated event-analysis engine ran into an internal error while processing the surge-date file. This means that the statistical report detailing TEM's post-surge performance cannot be delivered as intended. 1. Alternative Analysis Methods: A workaround for this issue is to use the strategy back-test engine, which would allow for a bypass of the broken engine. However, the results would be presented in a tabular format rather than an interactive chart. This option is available if the user prefers a table over an interactive chart.2. Future Analysis: Once the necessary files are corrected, a proper analysis can be conducted to assess TEM's performance following the 9% intraday surge. This would involve applying the same methodology as the original backtest to ensure comparability and accuracy.

Tempus AI’s AI-Driven Momentum: A 2026 Catalyst in Motion
Tempus AI’s 9.35% rally is a testament to its AI-powered growth narrative, with $1.1B in TCV and 38% data licensing growth fueling optimism. The stock’s short-term bullish trend, supported by a 58.19 RSI and divergent MACD, suggests continued volatility. Investors should monitor the 200D MA at $68.23 and key resistance at $73.19. Meanwhile, sector leader IQVIA’s -0.52% decline highlights Tempus’s outperformance. For a high-conviction play, consider TEMT or the $70 call option as the stock targets $76.09. Watch for a breakout above $73.19 or a breakdown below $64.34 to confirm the next move.