Tempus AI Soared 15.33%—What's Fueling This AI-Driven Surge?

Summary
• Tempus AI (TEM) surged 15.33% to $90.14, hitting an intraday high of $91.06.
• Turnover spiked to 15.7 million shares, with a 16.35% turnover rate.
• Bollinger Bands show price above the 76.19 midline, while RSI rests at 58.11.
• The stock’s explosive move defies a bearish engulfing candle, as options volatility and leverage ratios spike. This article unpacks the technical and options-driven forces behind the rally.

Options Volatility and Technical Divergence Ignite Rally
Tempus AI’s 15.33% surge defies a short-term bearish engulfing pattern on the K-line chart, suggesting a divergence between technical signals and market sentiment. The options chain reveals a 77.95%–85.75% implied volatility range across contracts, with leverage ratios spiking to 47.32% on the put side and 544.44% price change ratios on select calls. This volatility suggests aggressive speculative positioning, particularly in the $84–$94 strike range, where 20 contracts show high turnover. The MACD histogram’s -0.0334 dip and RSI at 58.11 indicate a neutral-to-bullish bias, but the 91.06 intraday high nearing the 52-week peak of $91.45 suggests a short-term breakout is in play.

High-Volatility Call Options and ETF Neutral Stance
• Technical Indicators: 200-day MA: $57.04 (far below); 52W High: $91.45 (near); RSI: 58.11 (neutral); MACD: 3.83 (bullish).
• Options Focus: Aggressive bulls should target calls with high IV and gamma, while short-sellers may eye puts with negative deltas for volatility plays.
• Key Levels: Support at $75.79–$76.31 (30D), resistance at $58.33–$59.48 (200D).
• Top Call Option: TEM20250919C94 (strike $94, expiration 2025-09-19): IV 82.44% (high), leverage ratio 29.87% (moderate), delta 0.393 (moderate), theta -0.3938 (high time decay), gamma 0.033 (high sensitivity).
• Top Put Option: TEM20250919P84 (strike $84, expiration 2025-09-19): IV 77.95% (high), leverage ratio 47.32% (high), delta -0.266 (moderate), theta -0.0848 (low decay), gamma 0.0298 (moderate).
• Payoff Analysis: A 5% upside to $94.64 would yield $0.64 per share for TEM20250919C94 and $1.64 for TEM20250919C93. The C94’s high gamma and IV make it ideal for a continuation rally, while the P84 offers downside protection if volatility reverses.
• Hook: Aggressive bulls may consider TEM20250919C94 into a breakout above $91.45, while short-sellers should eye TEM20250919P84 for a volatility-driven reversal.

Backtest Tempus AI Stock Performance
It looks like the data-retrieval interface that I normally use to pull Tempus AI (TEM) price data is temporarily unavailable (session error). Without that raw OHLC series I can’t automatically generate the list of “≥ 15 % intraday‐surge” dates and run the event back-test for you right now.To keep things moving, you have two possible work-arounds:A. Retry the automated pull (recommended). • I’ll re-run the data request in a fresh session; this usually resolves transient 404/session errors. • No extra input is needed from you.B. Supply the event dates manually. • If you already track the specific trading days when TEM jumped ≥ 15 % intraday (2022-01-01 to today), just paste the date list (yyyyMMdd format). • I can then feed those directly into the back-testing engine without waiting for the data link to recover.Let me know which path you prefer (or if you’d like a different approach), and I’ll proceed immediately.

Bullish Momentum Intact—Act Now on Volatility-Driven Plays
Tempus AI’s 15.33% surge is fueled by a mix of technical divergence and options-driven volatility, with key levels at $91.45 (52W high) and $76.19 (Bollinger midline) critical for near-term direction. While the sector leader UnitedHealth Group (UNH) rose 2.96%, TEM’s move is decoupled from broader healthcare trends, pointing to speculative momentum. Investors should prioritize the TEM20250919C94 for a continuation rally or TEM20250919P84 for a volatility reversal. Watch for a breakdown below $76.19 or a regulatory catalyst to confirm the move’s sustainability.