Technical Bullish Remains as Broad Sell-Off Consolidates, Watch 3 Mispriced AI Stocks with Long-Term Growth Potential
The market is stabilizing after a sharp drop, spurred by the renewed AI bubble concerns surrounding Big Tech, a BTC sell-off, and broader market turmoil. Despite this, a medium-term bullish technical structure is beginning to take form. The consolidation of BTC and gold suggests that the bearish sentiment has cooled off for now, offering investors an opportunity to refocus on fundamentals and the long-term AI narrative. As China's Seedance revolutionizes the video-making industry, and as software stocks face mispricing, the current environment presents potential buy-the-dip opportunities. Here are our top picks to consider now.
The recent two-day bounce in the Nasdaq 100 has helped the market recover from the recent sell-off, avoiding a deeper panic sell-off. Although Thursday's low briefly broke below previous levels, it remained above the November lows, indicating that the bullish structure has not been fully broken. The double-top pattern is present, capping the immediate breakout potential, but the current situation still warrants a bullish stance.

The S&P 500 shows a more solid technical structure, with recent lows not breaking previous support levels, which suggests the market is still willing to buy the dip. The resilience is evident, and there's a strong likelihood that it will test higher levels again.

The logic behind this bullish sentiment is rooted in the robust fundamentals of the U.S. economy, which continues to expand despite challenges, coupled with low unemployment rates. Furthermore, most S&P 500 companies have reported better-than-expected earnings and positive outlooks for the Q4 season. In the tech sector, aggressive AI spending is still evident, but slow monetization is a growing concern, leading some to question whether growth can justify the high valuations. However, the rapid rise of AI has already begun to disrupt the traditional software sector, raising concerns about how the likes of NvidiaNVDA-- could be impacted. Yet, such claims are overstated and, over time, the value of AI will become more apparent.
Overall, the U.S. market remains resilient, and investors should confidently buy the S&P 500, while exercising caution regarding the Nasdaq 100 and the tech shuffle. The recent sell-off, however, may encourage speculative traders to buy the dip, as the long-term AI narrative remains intact, and the software sector could ultimately emerge as the winner in the AI revolution.
Both crypto and gold have seen consolidation after their initial shocks. While BTC is still hovering below the $70,000 mark, the cooling of panic selling might prompt investors to look beyond crypto and diversify their portfolios. However, it's still unwise to invest in crypto at this stage, as the belief and trust in the asset class have yet to fully recover. A further catalyst is needed for a potential turnaround.
Gold, on the other hand, has shown signs of stabilizing after its previous enthusiasm faded. The recent sell-off in gold was driven by speculative excess, but with the new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh favoring a stronger dollar and continued support for rate cuts, the precious metal could be set for another upward move. Weakness in the dollar, along with ongoing geopolitical tensions, could support gold's demand. Interestingly, both BTC and gold remain linked to the risky asset class, providing a barometer for broader market sentiment.

With the recent volatility behind us, it is now more appropriate to adopt a bullish stance. Many SaaS stocks, which serve as prime vehicles for AI innovation, have been unfairly sold off in the broader market downturn, presenting prime opportunities for investors. Here are three AI-related picks with solid technical strength that should be on your radar:
Shopify has been a victim of the recent software sell-off. As an e-commerce platform, Shopify helps millions of retailers create online stores. The company has also partnered with ChatGPT to facilitate AI-powered purchasing experiences, showcasing how AI can drive monetization rather than just competition. Shopify's ecosystem, with its loyal customer base, remains resilient. Although the company faces more rapid innovation in AI, rebuilding its ecosystem will take time, which gives it a competitive edge. Technically, Shopify has returned to levels last seen in July, with MA(3) moving upward while MA(7,10) are moving downward, suggesting a short-term bounce opportunity. From a long-term perspective, Shopify stands to benefit from AI advancements in e-commerce.

Snowflake, a leader in data warehousing, remains undervalued despite its crucial role in AI training and inference, particularly with its partnership with Nvidia. Snowflake's competitor, Databricks, is valued at $134 billion (though it's still private), while Snowflake is valued at half that amount, despite similar revenue. This imbalance offers a significant upside for Snowflake if it continues to grow and takes a larger share of the data warehousing market. Technically, the stock is in a similar position to Shopify, with MA(3) moving upward while MA(7,10) remain below. A break above the MA(7) could signal even more promise.

Palantir is another buy-the-dip opportunity for those looking to capitalize on the AI boom. With a 70% increase in revenue from both government and commercial sectors, Palantir continues to be a key player in AI-driven data analytics. The company's focus on national defense and AI-related services positions it well for future growth, especially under the current political climate. Palantir's technical chart shows similar patterns to the other two stocks, with MA(3) rising while MA(7,10) are trending downward.
In conclusion, the current market environment presents a solid opportunity for investors willing to buy the dip in select stocks, particularly those related to the AI sector. Despite the sell-off in both crypto and gold, the underlying technical strength of the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 remains intact. The rapid growth of AI will continue to reshape the tech sector, and stocks like Shopify, Snowflake, and Palantir, which are well-positioned to benefit from this disruption, are set to outperform. As always, patience is key, and now is the time to selectively add exposure to AI stocks while being cautious in other areas of the market.
Independent investment research powered by a team of market strategists with 20+ years of Wall Street and global macro experience. We uncover high-conviction opportunities across equities, metals, and options through disciplined, data-driven analysis.
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