The bill doubles faster than anyone planned for
Watch the size of that bill move, because it is the fastest-growing thing in the budget. Net interest hit an all-time high of $476 billion in fiscal 2022. By fiscal 2025 it had more than doubled to about $970 billion. Fiscal 2026 is already tracking around $1 trillion. And the Congressional Budget Office projects that figure roughly doubling again, to about $2.1 trillion, by fiscal 2036.
Net interest more than doubled from $476B in FY2022 to $970B in FY2025, crossing above defense spending by roughly $150B to become the third-largest federal outlay, and CBO projects it roughly doubling again to $2.1T by FY2036.
| Fiscal year | Net interest cost ($) |
|---|---|
| FY2022 | 476 |
| FY2025 | 970 |
| FY2026 | 1000 |
| FY2036 (CBO projection) | 2100 |
Why it moves this fast: the debt matures on your watch
Here is the mechanism that makes this feel like a countdown rather than a slow drift. The government does not borrow once; it rolls over. As of mid-2025, 61 percent of outstanding Treasury debt held by the public was scheduled to mature by the end of 2028. Old debt issued at low rates comes due, and Washington refinances it at today's elevated yields. That is the pass-through: the elevated rates the market demands today do not stay in the future — they walk straight into next year's interest payments, because most of the debt is rolling over within a few years. The burden is also growing as a share of the economy and of revenue. Net interest already consumed about 3.2 percent of GDP and 18.5 percent of every federal revenue dollar in fiscal 2025. The projections point to roughly 4.6 percent of GDP and 25.8 percent of revenue by 2036.
Debt service is projected to climb from 3.2% of GDP and 18.5% of revenue in FY2025 to 4.6% of GDP and 25.8% of revenue by FY2036, so over a quarter of every federal revenue dollar would go to interest.
| Fiscal year | Share of GDP | Share of federal revenue |
|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 3.2 | 18.5 |
| FY2036 (projection) | 4.6 | 25.8 |



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