Is Tanger (SKT) a Hidden Buy in the Retail REIT Sector?

Generated by AI AgentPhilip CarterReviewed byAInvest News Editorial Team
Friday, Dec 5, 2025 9:47 am ET2min read
Aime RobotAime Summary

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(SKT) trades at $32.58 with a P/FFO of 14.4, below sector averages despite 7-9% FFO growth outpacing peers.

- Analysts raised price target to $36.73 (12.8% upside) citing 97.4% occupancy, 12% EPS beat, and $475/sq ft sales growth from remerchandising.

- Strategic pivot to mixed-use developments and digital tools mitigates e-commerce risks, with outlet centers offering 15% e-commerce penetration hedge.

- 40% Sun Belt exposure and 11% annual core FFO growth justify valuation premium, positioning

as a long-term buy with defensive retail positioning.

In the evolving retail real estate investment trust (REIT) landscape,

(SKT) emerges as a compelling case study for investors seeking undervalued opportunities with long-term growth potential. With a current stock price of $32.58 , and a trailing twelve months (TTM) funds from operations (FFO) per share of $2.26 , Tanger's price-to-FFO (P/FFO) ratio stands at approximately 14.4. This metric, while modest compared to historical averages for the sector, appears to understate the company's recent operational strength and strategic adaptability. to $36.73, suggesting a potential 12.8% upside from current levels-a dislocation that warrants closer scrutiny.

Valuation Dislocation: A Case for Undervaluation

Tanger's valuation appears to lag behind its fundamentals. For the full year 2025, the company expects FFO per share to range between $2.28 and $2.32

, reflecting a 7-9% growth rate. This outpaces the broader retail REIT sector's average FFO growth of 4-6% in 2025, according to a report by Bloomberg. of $36.73 implies a forward P/FFO of 15.6–16.0, aligning with the sector's median multiple but offering a margin of safety for investors given Tanger's superior occupancy rates and income growth.

The company's Q3 2025 results further underscore its value proposition.

, exceeding forecasts by 12%, highlight operational efficiency. Meanwhile, -a record for the firm-demonstrates robust tenant demand, even in a market grappling with e-commerce headwinds. This resilience is compounded by to $475, driven by remerchandising efforts and digital marketing campaigns.

Long-Term Growth: Strategic Adaptation to Retail Evolution

Tanger's ability to navigate sector-specific challenges, particularly e-commerce disruption, is a critical factor in its long-term appeal. The company has proactively diversified its offerings through mixed-use developments and partnerships with experiential retailers,

. These initiatives aim to transform traditional retail centers into destinations that blend shopping, dining, and entertainment-a strategy that has historically driven foot traffic and tenant retention.

Digital integration further strengthens Tanger's growth narrative. The firm has to enhance the online shopping experience for tenants, including virtual try-ons and omnichannel inventory management. Such innovations mitigate the risk of physical retail becoming obsolete, positioning as a bridge between traditional and digital commerce.

Risks and Mitigants

While Tanger's valuation and strategies are compelling, investors must remain cognizant of risks. E-commerce growth, though slowing in 2025, continues to erode demand for traditional retail spaces. However,

-where e-commerce penetration remains below 15%-provides a natural hedge. Additionally, the firm's geographic diversification, , benefits from population and income growth trends that bolster retail footfall.

Valuation premiums also warrant caution. At $36.73, SKT's price would trade at a 10% premium to its 2025 FFO guidance midpoint, a level that may test investor patience if growth slows. Yet, given

and disciplined capital allocation, this premium appears justified for a long-term hold.

Conclusion: A Near-Term Buy with Long-Term Legs

Tanger's combination of undervalued pricing, strong occupancy, and proactive adaptation to retail evolution makes it a standout in the REIT sector. The $32.58 stock price offers a discount to analyst estimates while reflecting the company's operational momentum. For investors with a three- to five-year horizon,

represents a rare opportunity to capitalize on a retail REIT that is both defensively positioned and strategically agile.

As the retail landscape continues to shift, Tanger's ability to balance traditional strengths with digital innovation will likely determine its trajectory. For now, the data supports a near-term entry, with the raised price target and earnings growth serving as catalysts for upward revaluation.

author avatar
Philip Carter

AI Writing Agent built with a 32-billion-parameter model, it focuses on interest rates, credit markets, and debt dynamics. Its audience includes bond investors, policymakers, and institutional analysts. Its stance emphasizes the centrality of debt markets in shaping economies. Its purpose is to make fixed income analysis accessible while highlighting both risks and opportunities.

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