T1 Energy (TE) Surges 7.5% on Strategic Solar Partnership with Treaty Oak – Is This the Dawn of a New Energy Era?

Summary
• T1 Energy (TE) surges 7.5% intraday to $6.913, hitting 52-week high of $7.11
• Announces 3-year, 900MW solar module supply deal with Treaty Oak, leveraging G2Austin facility
• CEO Dan Barcelo highlights U.S. solar market shift toward domestic production and regulatory compliance

The stock’s explosive move follows a landmark partnership with Treaty Oak Clean Energy, securing high-performance solar modules compliant with federal foreign content rules. With T1’s G2Austin facility set to produce modules with over 60% domestic content by late 2026, the deal underscores growing demand for U.S.-made solar solutions. The intraday range of $6.655 to $7.11 reflects strong institutional buying amid bullish technicals.

Strategic Solar Partnership Ignites T1 Energy's Bullish Surge
T1 Energy’s 7.5% intraday rally is directly tied to its multiyear agreement with Treaty Oak Clean Energy to supply 900MW of solar modules. The deal, built on T1’s G2_Austin facility, aligns with federal regulations requiring reduced foreign content in solar imports. CEO Dan Barcelo emphasized the strategic importance of domestic production amid trade policy uncertainties, while Treaty Oak’s CEO highlighted the partnership’s role in reducing project risk and enhancing financing. The stock’s surge reflects investor confidence in T1’s vertically integrated supply chain and its ability to meet rising demand for compliant, high-efficiency solar materials.

Solar Sector Gains Momentum as T1 Energy Outpaces Peers
The Solar & Alternative Energy sector, led by First Solar (FSLR) with a 0.76% intraday gain, shows mixed momentum. T1 Energy’s 7.5% surge far outpaces sector peers, driven by its unique position in domestic solar manufacturing. While FSLR focuses on panel production, T1’s integrated approach—combining polysilicon, cells, and modules—positions it to capitalize on U.S. policy tailwinds. The sector’s broader trend toward regulatory compliance and domestic content aligns with T1’s strategic bets, making its rally a bellwether for the industry’s near-term trajectory.

Options and ETFs for Capitalizing on T1 Energy's Bullish Momentum
• MACD: 0.594 (above signal line 0.542), RSI: 66.96 (bullish), Bollinger Bands: $7.29 (upper), $5.01 (middle), $2.73 (lower)
• 200D MA: $2.185 (far below price), 30D MA: $4.518 (support), Support/Resistance: $4.40–$4.48 (30D), $1.20–$1.32 (200D)

T1 Energy’s technicals confirm a strong short-term bullish trend, with RSI near overbought territory and MACD above its signal line. The stock is trading well above its 200-day average, suggesting momentum is intact. For options, focus on near-term calls with moderate deltas and high gamma to leverage price acceleration. Two top picks from the options chain are:

• TE20260116C7 (Call, $7 strike, Jan 16 2026):
- IV: 126.20% (high volatility)
- Delta: 0.525 (moderate sensitivity)
- Gamma: 0.1755 (high sensitivity to price moves)
- Theta: -0.0217 (moderate time decay)
- Turnover: $226,942 (liquid)
- Leverage Ratio: 8.42% (high reward potential)
- Payoff at 5% upside: $0.35865 per share (max(0, 7.25865 - 7))
- Why it stands out: High leverage and gamma make this call ideal for a continued rally, with sufficient liquidity for entry/exit.

• TE20260417C7.5 (Call, $7.5 strike, Apr 17 2026):
- IV: 131.87% (high volatility)
- Delta: 0.598 (moderate sensitivity)
- Gamma: 0.0769 (moderate sensitivity)
- Theta: -0.0091 (low time decay)
- Turnover: $29,628 (liquid)
- Leverage Ratio: 3.87% (balanced risk/reward)
- Payoff at 5% upside: $0.75865 per share (max(0, 7.25865 - 7.5))
- Why it stands out: Lower time decay and moderate gamma offer a safer play for a sustained move, with leverage to amplify gains.

Aggressive bulls may consider TE20260116C7 into a breakout above $7.29.

Backtest T1 Energy Stock Performance
The backtest of TE's performance after a 8% intraday surge from 2022 to now is currently not available. However, the backtests for AR and FPAY performances under similar conditions have been conducted by AInvest. It is likely that the performance of TE has not been backtested due to lack of data or other unforeseen circumstances. Therefore, we cannot conclude anything about the performance of TE in this regard.

T1 Energy's Solar Partnership Validates Long-Term Bull Case – Position for 2026 Production Ramp
T1 Energy’s 7.5% surge validates its strategic pivot toward domestic solar production, with the G2_Austin facility set to begin operations by late 2026. The stock’s technicals and options activity suggest continued momentum, particularly if the 52-week high of $7.11 is retested. Investors should monitor production timelines and regulatory developments, as these could drive further volatility. Meanwhile, sector leader First Solar (FSLR) gained 0.76%, underscoring the broader industry’s resilience. For those seeking exposure, the TE20260116C7 and TE20260417C7.5 options offer compelling leverage, while ETFs like IYR (real estate) or XLE (energy) could provide sector diversification. Position for 2026 production ramp with options or ETFs.