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• Synapse/USDC drifted lower, closing at 0.0698 after a 0.072 high.
• RSI signaled weakening momentum; volume surged during the decline.
• Bollinger Bands suggest tightening volatility ahead of key support.
Synapse/USDC (SYNUSDC) opened at 0.072 on 2025-11-11 at 12:00 ET, reaching a high of 0.0729 before declining to a 24-hour low of 0.0685 on 2025-11-12 at 00:00 ET. The pair closed at 0.0714 at 12:00 ET today. Total volume reached 590,643.4 and notional turnover amounted to $42,481.75, indicating heightened activity amid a bearish price action.
The candlestick pattern formation over the past 24 hours featured a bearish breakdown, with a key support zone forming around 0.0703. A bearish engulfing pattern appeared during the early hours of the session, suggesting pressure from sellers. The price tested this level multiple times, with bearish confirmation from the closing prices below it. The RSI dipped below 40, signaling weakening
but not yet oversold territory. MACD turned negative with a bearish crossover, reinforcing the short-term bearish tilt.Bollinger Bands showed a narrowing pattern as the price approached the lower band, indicating a potential continuation of the downward move. A 20-period EMA sat slightly above 0.0704, while the 50-period EMA hovered near 0.0707, both confirming the bearish trend. Fibonacci retracement levels highlighted 0.0703 (61.8%) as a critical short-term support. A breach below this level could target 0.0685 as the next key level.
The price-volume relationship showed strong bearish confirmation during the decline, with the largest volume spike occurring at 19:15 ET as the price dropped from 0.0717 to 0.0708. The notional turnover during this period was $4,842.59, nearly double the prior hour. While volume surged, it did not trigger a rebound, indicating bearish exhaustion may not yet be in play.
Backtest Hypothesis
The described backtest applies candlestick pattern-based signals to generate buy and sell decisions, specifically using Bullish and Bearish Engulfing patterns. The current Synapse/USDC session saw a clear Bearish Engulfing formation early in the session, which could serve as a predictive model in the broader context. If this strategy were applied to this pair, a short entry might have been triggered at that point, with a subsequent bearish move confirming the signal. The absence of stop-loss or take-profit parameters means the strategy is inherently volatile, yet it provides a clear framework for identifying trend reversals or continuations. Given the 24-hour bearish drift and pattern recognition, this backtesting approach appears to align well with the observed price behavior, offering a potential template for future directional bias.
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