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Super Micro Stock Plunges: Delays, Competition, and Uncertainty

Eli GrantSunday, Nov 17, 2024 10:26 pm ET
4min read
Super Micro Computer (SMCI) stock experienced a significant drop this week, with the share price falling 24.2% from the previous week's close. This decline can be attributed to a combination of factors, including filing delays, emerging competition, and uncertainty surrounding the company's financial health.

**Filing Delays and Auditor Change**

Super Micro's stock plummeted following news that the company may miss the filing deadline for submitting its 10-Q report to the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). This delay, coupled with the company's ongoing struggle to replace its auditor, Ernst & Young, raised concerns about the company's financial health and transparency. The potential risk of delisting from the Nasdaq, as highlighted by CNBC, further eroded investor confidence.

SMCI Basic EPS, Basic EPS YoY


**Emerging Competition in AI Server Market**

Cisco's announcement of its AI server plans, which involve using Nvidia's advanced GPUs, contributed to Super Micro's stock decline. This decision by Cisco may have diverted GPU orders that would have gone to Super Micro to competitors, including Cisco itself. This shift in competitive positioning, coupled with Super Micro's delayed 10-Q report and auditor issues, increased the risk factor for investors, leading to a 24.2% drop in Super Micro's stock price.

**Uncertainty and Reputation Risk**

The potential delisting from the Nasdaq could significantly impact Super Micro's reputation and customer base. If the company fails to submit a viable compliance plan by the Monday deadline or if the Nasdaq rejects its submission, it could face immediate delisting and begin trading over the counter. This could hurt Super Micro's reputation, as customers may prefer to avoid the drama and opt for competitors like Dell or HPE. Additionally, a delisting could lead to a loss of investor confidence, further exacerbating the stock's 85% decline since March.

**Looking Ahead**

Super Micro stock began rallying in after-hours trading on Friday, suggesting that investors may be optimistic about the company's prospects. The company is expected to submit a filing plan to the Nasdaq exchange, which could help avoid immediate delisting. However, questions remain about the company's financials, and the stock is poised for more volatility in the coming weeks.

In conclusion, Super Micro's stock decline this week can be attributed to a combination of filing delays, emerging competition in the AI server market, and uncertainty surrounding the company's financial health. Investors should closely monitor the situation and consider the potential risks and rewards before making investment decisions.
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ev00rg
11/18
$SMCI It looks like the 1.5 million shares added by insiders over the past two weeks are nothing to laugh at. Those Asians are wise to the ways of the market.
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TobyAguecheek
11/18
$SMCI It seems like there are too many institutional investors involved for this stock to decline.
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Excellent_Chest_5896
11/18
Just think about it, in just a few hours, we could be seeing $SMCI at $30+.
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Fidler_2K
11/18
$CSCO staged a notable rally on Monday.
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Julia Henderson
11/18
$SMCI Once the price drops below $22, it's unlikely you'll ever see it that cheap again.
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fgd12350
11/18
$SMCI $32 bid?
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a_monkie
11/18
$SMCI The rise hasn't started yet.
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ExeusV
11/18
$SMCI I had a short position last week but covered it. If I were short right now, I'd be really worried. Whales are lurking, and as soon as the plan is revealed, the price is going to skyrocket just like it did on Friday. The company isn't that stupid to not present a good plan. The threat of delisting has been lifted, so what's next? What are the chances that the shorts won't get squeezed? That's why I got out. The squeeze is real. This stock moves in dollars, not cents. Everyone is watching. Expect massive volume tomorrow. Stick with the trend or stay out if you're not ready for the rollercoaster. No price target given, except for the huge gap to $50. 😂
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