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Summary
• Sun/Tether traded in a narrow range, with limited upside and firm support near 0.0224.
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Sun/Tether (SUNUSDT) opened at $0.02248 on 2025-11-11 at 12:00 ET and reached a high of $0.02257 during the 24-hour period. The pair closed at $0.02247 at 12:00 ET on 2025-11-12. The total volume for the 24-hour window was 24,287,300 tokens, with a notional turnover of approximately $543,000 (based on average price of ~$0.0224). The price action formed a consolidation pattern, with buyers and sellers in a tug-of-war around the 0.0225 psychological level.
Looking at the structure, the 20-period and 50-period moving averages on the 15-minute chart remained relatively flat, indicating a lack of strong directional bias. The 50-period MA at 0.0225 served as a key horizontal support and resistance reference. Price action showed two notable bullish engulfing patterns around 19:00 and 01:30 ET, which coincided with volume spikes. A doji formed at 17:45 ET, signaling indecision.
MACD remained in the positive territory but with diminishing momentum, suggesting a potential exhaustion of the short-term bullish bias. RSI hovered near 50 throughout, with no clear overbought or oversold conditions, suggesting a neutral to slightly bullish tone. Bollinger Bands reflected a moderate volatility environment, with price frequently touching the mid-band but not breaking out to either extreme. Price remained within the 0.0224–0.02257 range for most of the 24-hour period.
Volume distribution was uneven but confirmed key turning points, with the largest volume spike at 19:00 ET (4.78M tokens) and 01:30 ET (751K tokens). Notional turnover, derived from volume and price, aligned well with price direction, offering confirmation for both the 19:00 and 01:30 ET price moves. No clear divergence between price and volume was observed, suggesting that the market remained largely in sync.
Fibonacci retracement levels applied to the 0.02248–0.02257 swing (19:00 to 01:30 ET) showed that the 38.2% (0.02252) and 61.8% (0.02255) levels acted as significant price anchors. These levels coincided with key 15-minute candle closes, suggesting they were pivotal in shaping the short-term structure.
Backtest Hypothesis
The backtesting strategy described focuses on pattern-based entries with a 3-day exit rule. Given the current market structure and the recurring bullish patterns observed today, particularly at key Fibonacci levels, a test of this approach could yield insights into short-term trading viability. The absence of clear overbought conditions and the alignment of price and volume at key turning points suggest that a 3-day holding period might allow for capturing post-breakout momentum without overexposure to mean reversion.

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