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SUI has seen strong momentum in early 2026, with a 38% price increase since the beginning of the year. This rally is supported by rising total value locked (TVL), reaching $1.04 billion, and derivatives open interest hitting $947.26 million
. The token absorbed a 43.69 million token unlock without experiencing a price decline, which analysts view as a sign of strong market strength .Network upgrades have played a central role in SUI's recent performance. The Mysticeti v2 upgrade improved SUI's transaction throughput to 866 transactions per second, making it more attractive for high-frequency applications
. This improvement has contributed to growing institutional interest, with Bitwise and Canary Capital filing for SUI ETFs .
On the technical side, SUI has broken out from a descending wedge on the daily chart, suggesting potential for
toward $2.70 and possibly $3.00 if momentum continues . The token is currently trading near $1.95 and is forming accumulation zones between $1.71 and $1.90. A clean breakout above the $2.20 resistance level could open the door to a price target of $3.3 in the coming months .SUI's price surge is attributed to several factors, including rising on-chain activity and institutional adoption. The Sui blockchain has seen a significant increase in trading volume, reaching $967.43 million in a single day
. This surge in volume reflects renewed interest from both retail and institutional investors. Additionally, the network's TVL has climbed to $1.04 billion, indicating growing confidence in Sui's infrastructure and governance model .Institutional interest in SUI is also growing, with major asset managers like Bitwise and VanEck launching products on the Sui blockchain
. These developments signal Sui's growing acceptance in the institutional investment space and could lead to further price appreciation. ETF filings are currently under review, and if approved, they may provide additional liquidity and exposure for the token .While SUI has shown strong momentum, it still faces several challenges. One of the key risks is the current resistance zone between $1.96 and $2.20. If buyers fail to maintain control of this zone, the price could retrace to key support levels
. Additionally, broader market conditions will play a critical role in SUI's trajectory. A correction in the broader crypto market could dampen investor sentiment and lead to a pullback in SUI's price.Another challenge is Sui's position relative to the 200-day moving average (MA-200). Despite recent gains, the token is still trading below this key indicator, which could limit its upside potential in the short term
. Institutional investors may be cautious until Sui shows sustained performance above the MA-200, as this could indicate a more bullish trend. However, the network's technical upgrades and growing institutional adoption suggest that Sui has long-term potential, especially if it continues to outperform and .Blending traditional trading wisdom with cutting-edge cryptocurrency insights.

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