SUI's Imminent Breakout and Path to $10

Technical and Institutional Convergence: A High-Probability Bull Case for SUI

The SUI token, native to the Sui blockchain, is poised for a breakout driven by a rare alignment of technical momentum and institutional adoption. As of September 2025, SUI is consolidating within a $3.70–$4.30 range, with narrowing Bollinger Bands signaling reduced volatility and a high probability of a directional move [1]. Key resistance levels—particularly the $4.25 threshold—have emerged as critical junctures. A confirmed breakout above this level could propel SUI toward $4.44 in the short term, with longer-term projections suggesting a path to $10 by mid-2026 [3].

Technical Catalysts: Resistance Breakouts and Momentum Indicators

SUI’s price action in Q3 2025 has been characterized by a tug-of-war between bullish and bearish forces. While some analysts caution a potential drop to $2.60–$2.66 if the $3.11 support fails [4], the broader technical picture remains constructive. The token’s MACD and RSI indicators have shown strengthening bullish momentum, with on-chain metrics like active wallets and transaction volume surging to over 605,000 daily addresses and 4.4 million transactions in Q3 2025 [5]. These figures underscore growing user engagement, particularly in DeFi protocols such as DeepBook, where 24-hour trading volumes hit $100 million [3].

A critical inflection point will occur in October 2025, when SUI’s projected range expands to $4.20–$4.80. A weekly close above $4.80 would challenge the $5 psychological barrier, historically a pivotal level for mass adoption [1]. If sustained, this could trigger a year-end rally into the $5.20–$6.00 range, contingent on continued institutional buying and retail participation [1].

Institutional Adoption: Legitimizing SUI as an Investable Asset

Institutional validation has been a game-changer for SUI’s trajectory. In July 2025, Sygnum Bank became the first Swiss institution to integrate SUI into its regulated digital asset platform, offering custody, spot trading, and derivatives [1]. This partnership, likened to BlackRock’s Bitcoin ETF milestone in 2024, has positioned SUI as a legitimate asset class for banks, asset managers, and high-net-worth individuals [6]. Sygnum’s upcoming SUI staking and collateral-backed Lombard loans further enhance liquidity and yield opportunities, reinforcing institutional confidence [2].

Additional catalysts include Franklin Templeton Digital Assets launching tokenized funds on Sui and the token’s listing on Robinhood, which has introduced SUI to millions of retail users [3]. These moves are complemented by two pending ETF applications from 21Shares and Canary Capital, signaling broader acceptance in traditional finance [3].

On-Chain Metrics and Ecosystem Growth

SUI’s on-chain activity paints a picture of a rapidly maturing ecosystem. Daily transactions on the Sui network averaged 3.38 million in Q3 2025, with DeFi TVL surging to $2 billion [5]. The token’s performance in AI agent and meme coin markets—exemplified by SUIAI’s 1,250% surge—also highlights its speculative appeal [4]. While daily active addresses dipped below 800,000 in December 2024, the network’s resilience in maintaining high transaction volumes suggests a robust user base [4].

Path to $10: A Convergence of Forces

The $10 price target by 2026 hinges on sustained institutional adoption and technical validation. If SUI breaks through the $5.00–$5.40 range in November 2025, it could trigger a multi-month rally into Q1 2026, where projections suggest a $4.00–$5.50 trading range [1]. Long-term on-chain metrics and ecosystem development—such as the Native Bridge’s Ethereum interoperability and automated address management—could further catalyze growth [5]. Analysts project that SUI could exceed $6.00 by 2026, with $11.20 as a high-end target if adoption accelerates [2].

Source:
[1] SUI Coin Price Prediction 2025 - 2050: Is It a Good ... [https://www.cryptoninjas.net/news/sui-coin-price-prediction/]
[2] Key Targets, Market Trends, and Long-Term Growth Potential [https://www.bitget.com/news/detail/12560604723034]
[3] SUI Hangs in the Balance: Breakout or Breakdown? [https://www.bitget.com/asia/news/detail/12560604941136]
[4] Is the SUI Price on Track for $10 in 2025? [https://cryptonews.com/exclusives/is-the-sui-price-on-track-for-10-in-2025/]
[5] Gate Research: Q3 Market Review Report [https://www.gate.com/learn/articles/gate-research-q3-market-review-report/4632]
[6] Could Sygnum Bank's SUI Partnership Be the 'BlackRock Moment' for Layer-1 Blockchains? [https://www.ccn.com/education/crypto/sygnum-sui-partnership-blackrock-moment-layer1/]