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Suburban Propane's Q1 2025: Weather, Leverage, and the Future of Renewable Natural Gas

Earnings DecryptThursday, Feb 6, 2025 2:34 pm ET
1min read
These are the key contradictions discussed in Suburban Propane Partners, L.P.'s latest 2025 Q1 earnings call, specifically including: Weather Impact and Operational Capacity, Leverage and Capital Stack Strategies, and Renewable Natural Gas (RNG) Market Demand:



Financial Performance and Market Conditions:
- Suburban Propane Partners reported adjusted EBITDA of $75.3 million for Q1 fiscal 2025, essentially flat to the prior year first quarter, despite challenging conditions including widespread unseasonably warm weather and lower agricultural demand.
- The stability in earnings was attributed to strong demand in the Southeast operations following hurricanes Helene and Milton, as well as incremental volumes from a strategic propane acquisition in the Southwest.

Commodity Prices and Operational Management:
- Average wholesale propane prices for the Q1 fiscal 2025 increased by 15% compared to the prior year, with prices rising to $0.95 per gallon in January.
- The company's operations managed selling prices effectively in the higher commodity price environment, leveraging their efficient operating model to help manage costs.

Renewable Energy Investments and Growth Plans:
- Suburban Propane is advancing capital projects to construct anaerobic digester facilities in Upstate New York and upgrade gas equipment in Columbus, Ohio.
- These investments are part of the company's long-term strategic growth plans to foster the growth of its core propane business and diversify into renewable energy platforms.

Distribution and Leverage Ratio:
- The company declared a quarterly distribution of $0.325 per common unit, with an annualized rate of $1.30, maintaining strong distribution coverage of 1.87 times.
- While leverage is slightly elevated at 4.99 times, it remains within debt covenant requirements, and the company anticipates leverage reduction as growth projects reach run rate capacity with the monetization of production tax credits.

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agnesmorales
02/07

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dypeverdier
02/07
@agnesmorales Fair enough
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chrisbaseball7
02/07
Holding $SPY for stability, $TSLA for moon shots.
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CyberShellSecurity
02/07
Suburban Propane's flat EBITDA despite warm weather? Solid ops management. Keep an eye on those RNG projects for future gains.
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joe4942
02/07
@CyberShellSecurity Solid move on RNG, but watch leverage.
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rltrdc
02/07
Propane demand spikes post-hurricanes, Southeast rocking it.
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johnnyko55555
02/07
Distribution coverage at 1.87x is strong. $0.325 per common unit is a decent payout. Yield hunters might find this appealing.
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dantheman2108
02/07
Leverage at 4.99x is a bit high, but within covenants. Monetizing tax credits could bring it down. Smart play.
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AGailJones
02/07
@dantheman2108 High leverage, but within covenants. Risky play.
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werewere223
02/07
@dantheman2108 Smart move, monetizing tax credits could lower leverage.
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Lurking_In_A_Cape
02/07
15% propane price hike, but they managed costs well. Efficient model pays off. Anyone else bullish on propane?
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TheOSU87
02/07
RNG investments are the future, diversifying like a pro.
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StrangeRemark
02/07
@TheOSU87 What other renewables do you think they should invest in?
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Overlord1317
02/07
$SPH's capital projects signal commitment to innovation. Watching their progress for potential catalysts. 📈
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car12703
02/07
@Overlord1317 What do you think about their RNG investments?
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Puzzleheadbrisket
02/07
Hurricanes helped their Southeast ops, and Southwest acquisition boosted volumes. Resilient strategy in action.
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Gurkaz_
02/07
@Puzzleheadbrisket True, hurricanes + Southwest deal boosted 'em.
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Shinoskay9
02/07
$SPH's renewable push is solid. Digester facilities are the future. I'm bullish on their long game, diversifying with purpose.
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threefold_law
02/07
@Shinoskay9 What do you think about their leverage strategy?
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BrianNice23
02/07
Holding $SPH long-term for its growth potential and steady distributions. Propane and renewables offer a solid balance.
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Liteboyy
02/07
Suburban Propane's flat EBITDA is impressive given the weather chaos. They're like the underdog champ, adapting and fighting strong.
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TenMillionYears
02/07
Love the diversification into renewables. Digester facilities are a smart move. Long-term growth with a conscience.
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Booknerdworm
02/07
Flat EBITDA despite warm weather? Solid ops management.
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Disclaimer: the above is a summary showing certain market information. AInvest is not responsible for any data errors, omissions or other information that may be displayed incorrectly as the data is derived from a third party source. Communications displaying market prices, data and other information available in this post are meant for informational purposes only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any security. Please do your own research when investing. All investments involve risk and the past performance of a security, or financial product does not guarantee future results or returns. Keep in mind that while diversification may help spread risk, it does not assure a profit, or protect against loss in a down market.
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