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TROLL, the Solana-based
coin, has entered a bearish triangle pattern as its price continues to bleed, with key support at $0.10 under increasing pressure. Technical analysis and market sentiment indicators suggest a high probability of further downward movement, driven by declining buyer confidence and structural sell-side dominance.The descending triangle pattern, a classic bearish continuation formation, has emerged as TROLL’s price action forms a series of lower highs against a flat support level. According to Decrypt’s Myriad market data, predictors now assign a 61% probability to TROLL dropping to $0.10, a 41% decline from its current price of $0.17 [1]. This shift reflects a significant bearish pivot since early September, when bullish odds stood at 54%. CoinCodex’s technical analysis corroborates this trend, forecasting a 25.81% price drop by October 22, 2025, with the Fear & Greed Index at 45 (Fear) and a 14-day RSI of 33.82, reinforcing the bearish bias [2].
Key support levels, including the critical $0.10 threshold, are now the focal point of market attention. Visionfactory’s analysis of descending triangle patterns highlights that such formations often resolve with a breakdown below support on increased volume, signaling a continuation of the downtrend [3]. TROLL’s price has already retraced from a peak of $0.28 to $0.17, erasing nearly half its value since mid-September. The $0.10 level, if breached, could trigger further selling pressure, potentially pushing the token toward the next support at $0.076516, as identified by CoinCodex [2].
Market dynamics indicate a structural imbalance between buyers and sellers. The Myriad market’s put-call ratio for TROLL has skewed sharply toward bearish bets, with 61% of predictors favoring a decline to $0.10 [1]. This aligns with CoinCodex’s data showing 73% of technical indicators signaling sell-side dominance, including bearish trends in moving averages and oscillators [2]. The recent absence of significant buy-side volume, coupled with the token’s inability to reclaim previous highs, underscores weakening demand.
The broader
ecosystem’s performance may also influence TROLL’s trajectory. While Solana itself has gained momentum, with a 23% rally toward a potential all-time high, TROLL has underperformed its native network. Decrypt notes that TROLL’s market cap has retracted from $283 million to $170 million, despite a brief rebound following IP rights news from its creators [1]. However, this bounce has proven unsustainable, with the token failing to regain bullish traction.If TROLL’s bearish triangle resolves, the implications for meme coin sentiment could extend beyond its immediate price action. The token’s struggles mirror broader market caution, as evidenced by the $4.3 billion
and options expiry events in September 2025, which highlighted a bearish put-to-call ratio of 1.23 for . While these events primarily impact larger cryptocurrencies, they reflect a risk-averse environment that could amplify TROLL’s volatility.Analysts caution that a breakdown below $0.10 would likely trigger a cascade of stop-loss orders and margin calls, accelerating the decline. CoinCodex’s projection of a 19.93% annualized return for short sellers by December 2025 suggests institutional and retail traders are positioning for further downside [2]. Conversely, a rebound above $0.17 to
resistance at $0.30 would require a significant shift in market sentiment, potentially driven by renewed IP-related developments or broader meme coin sector strength.In summary, TROLL’s technical and sentiment indicators paint a bearish outlook, with the $0.10 support level serving as a critical inflection point. The descending triangle pattern, combined with skewed market positioning and weak on-chain metrics, suggests a high probability of further price erosion. Traders and investors are advised to monitor volume dynamics and key support levels for confirmation of the breakdown.
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