The Strategy That Beat the S&P 500 for Decades

Written byAdam Shapiro
Monday, Sep 8, 2025 10:53 am ET1min read

In this episode of Capital & Power, we sit down with Seth Cogswell, Managing Partner of Running Oak Capital, to break down the Efficient Growth Strategy — a four-decade playbook that quietly crushed the S&P 500 while taking on half the risk.

👉 In This Episode:

  • How to weaponize earnings growth for exponential compounding
  • Why mid-cap stocks may be today’s most dangerous opportunity
  • The Fed, recessions, and why avoiding pain may be America’s biggest mistake
  • What’s next for Running Oak: ETFs, global expansion, and an exchange fund for the overexposed

Cogswell isn’t another Wall Street talking head. He’s the steward of an investing playbook built by his father in the 1970s, tested through booms, busts, bubbles, and bailouts. The “efficient growth” strategy has one aim: compound wealth faster while keeping investors out of the kind of drawdowns that ruin portfolios—and sleep. “Nothing drives performance like earnings growth,” he says, and he’s got four decades of evidence to back it up.

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Adam Shapiro

Adam Shapiro is a three-time Emmy Award–winning content creator, former network news correspondent, and founder of the multimedia production company TALKENOMICS. At AInvest, he created and launched Capital & Power, a video podcast series designed to drive engagement and establish thought leadership, while also producing original live streams, financial articles, and investor-focused video content. Previously, as a correspondent at FOX Business, Shapiro established the network’s Washington, D.C. bureau, reported from the White House, Capitol Hill, and the Federal Reserve, and secured exclusive bipartisan interviews with influential leaders. His reporting helped solidify FOX Business as the most-watched business channel on television. At the same time, his original Talkenomics series drew tens of thousands of viewers per episode through insightful conversations with policymakers, economists, and thought leaders. At Yahoo Finance, he played a critical leadership role in expanding digital programming to eight hours of live, bell-to-bell financial news coverage, dramatically increasing traffic from 68M to 104M unique monthly visitors and growing ad revenue from zero to over $50 million annually. Yahoo Finance continues to benefit from the credibility of Shapiro’s exclusive interviews with former President Donald Trump and numerous Fortune 500 CEOs.

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