Stocks Split as Small Caps Rally; Tech Slips While Gold Climbs

Written byAdam Shapiro
Tuesday, Oct 14, 2025 4:23 pm ET1min read
Aime RobotAime Summary

- U.S. stocks closed mixed as Fed signals dovish pivot, with small-cap Russell 2000 surging 1.41% while Nasdaq tech shares fell 0.76%.

- Powell highlighted labor market risks and near-end of balance-sheet runoff, boosting 97% odds of 25-basis-point rate cut by year-end.

- Gold rose 0.54% as inflation hedges gained traction, while crude oil dropped 1.80% reflecting softer growth expectations.

- Banks like Wells Fargo outperformed on stable fee income, contrasting tech's rotation as investors prioritize earnings durability over rate leverage.

U.S. stocks finished mixed Tuesday, with small caps surging even as big tech shares lagged. The Dow industrials rose 203.66 points, or 0.44%, to 46,271.2, while the S&P 500 slipped 0.16% to 6,644.38. The Nasdaq Composite fell 0.76% to 22,521.7, but the Russell 2000 jumped 1.41% to 247.86, signaling renewed risk appetite down the market-cap spectrum, according to index dashboards provided.

The crosscurrents followed

from the Federal Reserve. In an Oct. 14 address, Fed Chair Jerome Powell emphasized growing employment risks and indicated the central bank is “approaching the end” of its balance-sheet runoff, a shift that has investors leaning toward easier policy by year-end. Futures markets put 97% odds on a 25-basis-point rate cut this month, per CME FedWatch, as summarized in the Article Build. Powell also said, “There is no risk-free path for monetary policy,” and warned that “The labor market has demonstrated significant downside risk.” He framed recent price pressure as largely tariff-related, noting core PCE at 2.9%, and described the current backdrop as “low-hire, low-fire,” underscoring the trade-off now tilting toward employment support.

Lower-rate hopes aided economically sensitive shares: the small-cap Russell 2000 outperformed, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq slipped as investors rotated within equities. Commodities painted a cautious macro picture: gold rose 0.54% to $4,155.40, consistent with demand for hedges, while U.S. crude fell 1.80% to $58.42, pointing to softer growth expectations and easing energy-cost pressure.

Earnings also colored the tape. Big

resilient third-quarter results with fee income up 25–40%, offsetting slower net interest income as the rate tailwind fades. Wells Fargo and Citigroup shares outperformed on “clean” results and visible turnaround progress, while JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs saw sell-the-news pullbacks despite strong top lines—evidence investors are rewarding stability over perfection as the cycle matures, according to the Article Build. Credit metrics remained orderly, with managements describing consumer health as durable, even as margins compress.

Taken together, Tuesday’s action reflected markets adjusting to a Fed that is pivoting from restriction to stabilization and to an earnings season where fee growth and expense control matter more than further rate leverage. If Powell’s balance-sheet signal sticks and labor data continue to cool without an inflation flare-up, leadership may broaden beyond mega-cap tech—just what the Russell’s advance implied.

author avatar
Adam Shapiro

Adam Shapiro is a three-time Emmy Award–winning content creator, former network news correspondent, and founder of the multimedia production company TALKENOMICS. At AInvest, he created and launched Capital & Power, a video podcast series designed to drive engagement and establish thought leadership, while also producing original live streams, financial articles, and investor-focused video content. Previously, as a correspondent at FOX Business, Shapiro established the network’s Washington, D.C. bureau, reported from the White House, Capitol Hill, and the Federal Reserve, and secured exclusive bipartisan interviews with influential leaders. His reporting helped solidify FOX Business as the most-watched business channel on television. At the same time, his original Talkenomics series drew tens of thousands of viewers per episode through insightful conversations with policymakers, economists, and thought leaders. At Yahoo Finance, he played a critical leadership role in expanding digital programming to eight hours of live, bell-to-bell financial news coverage, dramatically increasing traffic from 68M to 104M unique monthly visitors and growing ad revenue from zero to over $50 million annually. Yahoo Finance continues to benefit from the credibility of Shapiro’s exclusive interviews with former President Donald Trump and numerous Fortune 500 CEOs.

Comments



Add a public comment...
No comments

No comments yet