US Stocks Likely To Open Higher As Wall Street Watches TruTariff Talks: 'March, April, May Tend To Be Solid Months In Post-Election Years,' Says Expert

As the US stock market prepares to open for the new month, investors are keeping a close eye on the ongoing trade negotiations and tariff talks. The uncertainty surrounding these geopolitical events has led to increased market volatility, but experts suggest that post-election years tend to be solid months for US stocks, particularly in March, April, and May.



Ryan Detrick, the chief market strategist at Carson Research, highlighted this trend in a recent tweet, stating that March, April, and May tend to be solid months in post-election years. This observation is supported by historical data mapping from 1950 onwards, which shows that these months have consistently performed well in the aftermath of US presidential elections.

Several factors contribute to this trend, including the health of the US economy, policy announcements, and market sentiment. The health of the US economy appears to have played an important role in whether the incumbent party retained the presidency in an election year, which, in turn, seemed to influence trends in market volatility before and after past elections. Additionally, policy announcements by the White House can trigger market reactions, with the timing of these announcements potentially influencing the performance of US stocks in the following months.



Market sentiment also plays a crucial role in stock performance. The uncertainty surrounding the election and its outcome can lead to increased market volatility. However, once the election is over and a new administration is in place, market sentiment tends to improve, leading to better stock performance in the following months.

Investors should be aware that averages are a guide and do not forecast with accuracy what will happen in any given year. Individual stocks, commodities, and currencies also tend to have seasonal tendencies that investors may consider when making investment decisions. However, the overall trend of solid performance in March, April, and May in post-election years suggests that US stocks may be poised for a strong start to the new month.

As the US stock market opens for trading, investors will be watching closely to see how the ongoing trade negotiations and tariff talks influence market sentiment and stock performance. With the potential for solid performance in the coming months, investors may be eager to capitalize on the opportunities that lie ahead.