The Carlyle Group shares rise 5.67% after hours on record 2025 fee-related earnings and $54B inflows.

The Carlyle Group

Carlyle Group Exceeds Expectations, Reports Increased Profit Amid Software Turmoil

The Carlyle Group Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript: Key Takeaways and Insights

Carlyle Surpasses Q4 Non-GAAP EPS Expectations, Declares Dividend

Carlyle Group Q4 Profit Surges on Private Equity Deal-Making

Catalyst<ul> <li>The presence of two Strong Buy analyst ratings indicates institutional optimism for CG.</li></ul>Risk<ul> <li>Technical analysis shows a dominance of bearish signals (4 bearish vs 1 bullish), suggesting ongoing downward pressure.</li> <li>Fund flows are negative across all order sizes, indicating a lack of investor confidence.</li> <li>Analyst ratings show inconsistency and include a Neutral rating, reflecting uncertainty about CG's outlook.</li></ul>

Key Factors

Carlyle reported record 2025 fee-related earnings of $1.24 billion, a 12% year-over-year increase, driven by organic growth and a 47% FRE margin.Carlyle surpassed $54 billion in capital inflows in 2025, raising total assets under management to a record $477 billion, exceeding its $40 billion target.Carlyle declared a $0.35 quarterly dividend and reported $1.7 billion in distributable earnings for 2025, an 11% year-over-year increase.Carlyle’s Q4 2025 distributable earnings rose 13.7% year-over-year to $436 million, fueled by private-equity deal-making and gains in credit and secondaries businesses.

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