U.S. stock futures remain steady amidst concerns over rising inflation and economic slowdown. New tariffs from the Trump administration have taken effect, leading to volatility in the market. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures hover near flat, while Dow Jones futures rise slightly. Gold opens slightly higher, while crude oil falls nearly 1%. Last week's sell-off was driven by a weak July jobs report and new tariff adjustments. Investors assess the impact of the weak labor market and the likelihood of a rate cut in September.
U.S. stock futures remained largely unchanged on Monday, July 2, 2025, amidst concerns over rising inflation and economic slowdown. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures hovered near flat, while Dow Jones futures rose slightly. Gold opened slightly higher, while crude oil fell nearly 1%.
The market's stability comes despite the recent implementation of new tariffs from the Trump administration, which have contributed to market volatility. Last week's sell-off was driven by a weak July jobs report and new tariff adjustments. Investors are now assessing the impact of the weak labor market and the likelihood of a rate cut in September.
The Trump administration's aggressive tariff policy has been a significant factor in the recent market fluctuations. Alyce McFadden Jamieson Greer, the U.S. trade representative, defended the administration's tariff policy, stating that the president has the power to set punitive tariffs to advance the U.S.'s geopolitical interests. Greer noted that such tariffs are essentially sanctions but differ in degree [1].
Additionally, the firing of the head of the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) by the Trump administration has drawn bipartisan criticism. The decision was made based on concerns over the reliability of the jobs data, with the administration arguing that the numbers were manipulated to harm the president politically. However, economists across the political spectrum have warned that this move threatens the nonpartisan work of the BLS in measuring the economy [2].
The weak July jobs report and the ongoing debate over the reliability of economic data have contributed to the uncertainty in the market. Investors are closely monitoring the labor market and the potential for a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September. The Federal Reserve has been signaling a pause in its rate hikes, but the recent economic data has raised questions about the timing of a rate cut.
Overall, the market remains cautious as investors digest the latest economic data and assess the impact of the Trump administration's policies. The stability of stock futures suggests that investors are taking a wait-and-see approach, but the ongoing uncertainty could lead to further volatility in the coming weeks.
References:
[1] https://www.nytimes.com/live/2025/08/03/us/trump-news/trump-tariffs-how-much-money-debt
[2] https://www.nytimes.com/live/2025/08/03/us/trump-news/trump-tariffs-how-much-money-debt
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