Stock Analysis | Wynn Resorts Outlook - A Mixed Technical Picture Amid Analyst Optimism

Generated by AI AgentAinvest Stock Digest
Friday, Aug 22, 2025 1:03 pm ET2min read
Aime RobotAime Summary

- Wynn Resorts (WYNN) rises 4.21% amid mixed technical signals and analyst optimism, with five "Buy/Strong Buy" ratings from top-performing firms.

- Industry dynamics show indirect risks: DoorDash supports LA restaurants post-wildfires, while IHG expands luxury hotels in Ecuador and Trump tariffs threaten hospitality margins.

- Fundamentals reveal mixed health: strong gross margins (41.79%) but weak profitability (-85.85% net income ratio) and low returns (0.61% ROA).

- Institutional investors remain cautiously optimistic (60.61% inflow), but retail flows are split, with small investors showing 48.94% outflows amid technical uncertainty.

Market Snapshot

Current Trend: A 4.21% price rise with mixed signals ahead.

(WYNN) is trading in a cautiously optimistic territory, supported by analyst optimism but facing a technical wait-and-see stance.

News Highlights

Recent news shows mixed signals for the hospitality and restaurant sector, which could indirectly affect

Resorts:

  • DoorDash Supports Restaurants: has awarded $10,000 grants to 20 small restaurants affected by recent wildfires in Los Angeles. While this news doesn’t directly impact Wynn, it signals growing support for local restaurants, potentially easing some competitive pressure.
  • InterContinental Expands to Ecuador: IHG Hotels & Resorts announced a new property in Ecuador, showing continued global expansion in the luxury hotel sector. This could signal broader industry momentum, which may indirectly benefit Wynn Resorts.
  • Trump Tariff Threats: New tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China could drive up costs for restaurants, including food and beverage commodities. This could negatively impact the hospitality sector's margins, possibly affecting Wynn’s operating costs and profitability.

Analyst Views & Fundamentals

Analysts have shown a generally positive outlook toward Wynn Resorts in recent weeks, with five institutions offering five ratings in the last 20 days. The simple average rating score is 4.40, while the performance-weighted rating is 3.59. The ratings are not fully aligned, but most lean toward the "Buy" or "Strong Buy" side.

  • Analysts from Stifel and Mizuho have issued "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings, respectively, with both showing strong historical performance (66.7% win rate or higher).
  • The price is currently up 4.21%, and this rise aligns with the overall market expectations, which are relatively neutral.

Key fundamental factors and their values:

  • Net income to revenue ratio: -85.85% (model score: 2.00)
  • Gross profit margin (GPM): 41.79% (model score: 3.00)
  • Gross profit to operating assets (GPOA): 5.72% (model score: 1.00)
  • Return on assets (ROA): 0.61% (model score: 1.00)
  • Cash to market value (Cash-MV): 60.80% (model score: 2.00)

The fundamental outlook is mixed, with some positive signs in margins but weaker performance in profitability and returns. Investors should consider these metrics when evaluating long-term value.

Money-Flow Trends

Big money continues to show interest in Wynn Resorts, with 60.61% of extra-large institutional money flowing in. The overall inflow ratio stands at 59.24%, with positive flows across all major investor categories. This suggests that large and institutional investors remain cautiously optimistic about the stock's direction.

On the retail side, the flow is more mixed. While 64.36% of extra-large retail flows are positive, the medium and small flows show a negative trend, with 49.52% and 48.94% inflow, respectively. This indicates that while big money is accumulating, retail investors might still be cautious, possibly waiting for clearer signals.

Key Technical Signals

Technically, the stock is in a state of neutrality, with an internal diagnostic score of 5.79 (0-10) over the last 5 days.

  • WR Overbought: An internal diagnostic score of 7.95 suggests strong bullish momentum. This pattern has historically yielded an average return of 2.08% and a 63.01% win rate.
  • Hanging Man: A bearish signal with a low internal diagnostic score of 2.4. This candlestick pattern has historically led to a 33.33% win rate and a 2.26% average return, suggesting caution on the upside.

Recent chart patterns include:

  • 2025-08-13: WR Overbought and Hanging Man signals appeared, suggesting a volatile day with both bullish and bearish elements.
  • 2025-08-14 to 2025-08-20: WR Overbought signals remained strong, suggesting continued bullish momentum in the short term.

Key Insight: Technical indicators show that the market is in a volatile state, with the direction not clear enough. Long and short signals are relatively balanced, so investors are advised to pay close attention to market changes and avoid overcommitting.

Conclusion

Wynn Resorts is in a holding pattern, with analysts mostly positive and technical indicators showing mixed signals. While large investors are accumulating shares, the fundamentals and short-term technicals suggest a wait-and-see approach.

Actionable Takeaway: Consider waiting for a clearer breakout or pullback before committing to a long position. Monitor the next 1-2 weeks closely for both technical and price confirmation signals.

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