Stock Analysis | Verisk Analytics Outlook - Bearish Momentum With Mixed Analyst Signals

Market Snapshot

One-sentence headline takeaway: Verisk Analytics (VRSK) is showing bearish technical momentum, with weak signals and a sharp price drop of -5.21% recently.

News Highlights

Recent news items:

• May 30: A new antitrust lawsuit was filed against the UFC on behalf of non-UFC professional MMA fighters. While this news does not directly affect VRSK, it highlights growing scrutiny in professional sports, which might indirectly affect Verisk’s data-driven insurance and risk analytics sectors.
• May 30: Med-X, Inc. announced a $10 million Regulation A+ public offering to advance eco-friendly pest control and pain management solutions. Though unrelated to VRSK, this shows broader investor appetite for innovation in professional services, which could help or hinder VRSK depending on market sentiment.
• May 31: MLB announced a strategic investment in a new women’s professional softball league, signaling continued growth in women’s sports. This might indirectly benefit Verisk’s sports and risk analytics business if the trend leads to higher demand for risk modeling and insurance solutions.

Analyst Views & Fundamentals

Average rating score (simple mean): 3.33 (on a 1-5 scale, with 5 being strongest buy).

Weighted rating score (performance-weighted): 1.10 — suggesting that analysts’ recent signals are weak and underperforming.

Rating consistency / dispersion: Analysts are not aligned, with divergent ratings (2 Neutral and 1 Buy in the last 20 days). This indicates mixed expectations.

Score vs. price trend alignment: The recent price drop (-5.21%) aligns with the generally pessimistic market expectations and the weak performance of analyst ratings. However, the fundamental model score of 9.0 (internal diagnostic score out of 10) shows strong fundamentals.

Key fundamental values:

• Operating revenue YoY growth rate: 7.38%
• Current assets turnover ratio: 1.33
• Total profit / EBIT ratio: 89.69%
• Current assets / Total assets: 28.73%

Money-Flow Trends

Verisk is showing a mixed money-flow picture: while small-cap investors are showing negative trends, large and extra-large investors are showing positive trends. The overall inflow ratio is 52.76%, with block inflow at 53.26%, suggesting that big money is cautiously optimistic despite retail pessimism.

Score: 7.17 (internal diagnostic score out of 10) — indicating a generally good fund-flow environment for VRSK.

Key Technical Signals

The technical outlook is weak, with 3 bearish indicators and 0 bullish ones in the last 5 days. The key bearish patterns include a Bearish Engulfing and a Marubozu White candlestick, both of which are associated with high downside risk.

Indicator scores (internal diagnostic scores out of 10):

• WR Oversold: 3.23 — moderate strength but not bullish.
• Bearish Engulfing: 1 — very weak, bearish signal.
• Marubozu White: 1 — very bearish, suggesting a lack of buyer support.
• RSI Oversold: 4.37 — neutral to slightly bearish.

Recent chart patterns by date:

• August 11, 2025: WR Oversold
• August 12, 2025: WR Oversold + RSI Oversold
• August 8, 2025: WR Oversold + Marubozu White + RSI Oversold
• August 7, 2025: WR Oversold + Bearish Engulfing + RSI Oversold

Overall technical trend: Weak, with dominant bearish signals and an internal diagnostic score of 2.4. This suggests investors should be cautious and possibly avoid new long positions.

Conclusion

Verisk Analytics has a strong fundamental backdrop (model score of 9.0), but it is currently facing significant technical headwinds (score of 2.4) and weak analyst signals (average rating of 3.33, performance-weighted of 1.10). While fund flows are cautiously positive (score of 7.17), the bearish technical signals suggest a high likelihood of further downside in the near term.

Actionable takeaway: Consider waiting for a pullback or clearer technical reversal signals before initiating long positions. For now, the bearish momentum and weak chart patterns make VRSK a stock to watch but not to enter.